Ongoing bilateral trade consultations under the Trump administration, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit and establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade and Investment Board, have created formal channels for reciprocal tariff reductions on at least $30 billion in goods per side. These steps followed a 2025 Kuala Lumpur arrangement that suspended key reciprocal tariffs and export controls through November 2026, with subsequent extensions, Section 301 adjustments capped near prior levels, and commitments on agricultural purchases and aircraft orders. Trader consensus at 89.3% on a publicly announced tariff agreement by December 31, 2026, reflects these institutional mechanisms and de-escalation patterns, though further negotiations must produce a specific mutual framework before year-end to meet resolution criteria.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
89% संभावना
$224,533 वॉल्यूम
$224,533 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
89% संभावना
$224,533 वॉल्यूम
$224,533 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing bilateral trade consultations under the Trump administration, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit and establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade and Investment Board, have created formal channels for reciprocal tariff reductions on at least $30 billion in goods per side. These steps followed a 2025 Kuala Lumpur arrangement that suspended key reciprocal tariffs and export controls through November 2026, with subsequent extensions, Section 301 adjustments capped near prior levels, and commitments on agricultural purchases and aircraft orders. Trader consensus at 89.3% on a publicly announced tariff agreement by December 31, 2026, reflects these institutional mechanisms and de-escalation patterns, though further negotiations must produce a specific mutual framework before year-end to meet resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$224,533समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing bilateral trade consultations under the Trump administration, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit and establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade and Investment Board, have created formal channels for reciprocal tariff reductions on at least $30 billion in goods per side. These steps followed a 2025 Kuala Lumpur arrangement that suspended key reciprocal tariffs and export controls through November 2026, with subsequent extensions, Section 301 adjustments capped near prior levels, and commitments on agricultural purchases and aircraft orders. Trader consensus at 89.3% on a publicly announced tariff agreement by December 31, 2026, reflects these institutional mechanisms and de-escalation patterns, though further negotiations must produce a specific mutual framework before year-end to meet resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$224,533समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing bilateral trade consultations under the Trump administration, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit and establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade and Investment Board, have created formal channels for reciprocal tariff reductions on at least $30 billion in goods per side. These steps followed a 2025 Kuala Lumpur arrangement that suspended key reciprocal tariffs and export controls through November 2026, with subsequent extensions, Section 301 adjustments capped near prior levels, and commitments on agricultural purchases and aircraft orders. Trader consensus at 89.3% on a publicly announced tariff agreement by December 31, 2026, reflects these institutional mechanisms and de-escalation patterns, though further negotiations must produce a specific mutual framework before year-end to meet resolution criteria.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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