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icon for क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

icon for क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

हाँ

10% संभावना
Polymarket

$413,363 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

10% संभावना
Polymarket

$413,363 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US intelligence assessments, including the ODNI’s March 2026 threat report, have assessed that Chinese leaders lack a fixed timeline for unification and are unlikely to launch an invasion of Taiwan in 2027, favoring continued coercive measures such as military exercises, economic pressure, and political influence operations instead. This outlook aligns with ongoing cross-strait dynamics, including opposition Kuomintang engagement with Beijing, Taiwan’s defense budget debates and military drills, and stable US arms support without acute escalation signals through mid-2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% implied probability for no invasion by June 2027 incorporates these factors alongside historical patterns of deterrence and the absence of verified preparations for large-scale amphibious operations within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$413,363
समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US intelligence assessments, including the ODNI’s March 2026 threat report, have assessed that Chinese leaders lack a fixed timeline for unification and are unlikely to launch an invasion of Taiwan in 2027, favoring continued coercive measures such as military exercises, economic pressure, and political influence operations instead. This outlook aligns with ongoing cross-strait dynamics, including opposition Kuomintang engagement with Beijing, Taiwan’s defense budget debates and military drills, and stable US arms support without acute escalation signals through mid-2026. Trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% implied probability for no invasion by June 2027 incorporates these factors alongside historical patterns of deterrence and the absence of verified preparations for large-scale amphibious operations within the resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$413,363
समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा? 10% (10¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" ने कुल $413.4K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Apr 1, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" 10% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"क्या चीन 30 जून, 2027 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।