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icon for क्या चीन 30 सितंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

क्या चीन 30 सितंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

icon for क्या चीन 30 सितंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

क्या चीन 30 सितंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?

हाँ

1% संभावना
Polymarket

$1,812,229 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

1% संभावना
Polymarket

$1,812,229 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No major military mobilization or diplomatic rupture signals an imminent Chinese invasion of Taiwan before the September 30, 2026 resolution date, supporting traders' 98.7% consensus on the "No" outcome. Ongoing PLA exercises near the strait and routine Taiwanese defense preparations continue without crossing into large-scale amphibious operations, while U.S. arms commitments and regional alliances remain stable factors deterring escalation. Economic interdependence and multilateral diplomatic channels further anchor the status quo. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden leadership decisions, unforeseen crises, or rapid force deployments within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,812,229
समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No major military mobilization or diplomatic rupture signals an imminent Chinese invasion of Taiwan before the September 30, 2026 resolution date, supporting traders' 98.7% consensus on the "No" outcome. Ongoing PLA exercises near the strait and routine Taiwanese defense preparations continue without crossing into large-scale amphibious operations, while U.S. arms commitments and regional alliances remain stable factors deterring escalation. Economic interdependence and multilateral diplomatic channels further anchor the status quo. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden leadership decisions, unforeseen crises, or rapid force deployments within the narrow remaining window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$1,812,229
समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या चीन 30 सितंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या चीन 30 सितंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा? 1% (1¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

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यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "क्या चीन 30 सितंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "क्या चीन 30 सितंबर, 2026 तक ताइवान पर आक्रमण करेगा?" केवल 1% पर है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं।

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