Strong US political and regulatory opposition, including bipartisan Senate warnings and CXMT's Pentagon blacklist status over alleged military ties, is the main factor supporting the 76.5% market-implied probability of no Apple purchases in 2026. Despite Apple's reported testing of CXMT DRAM chips and lobbying for waivers amid AI-driven memory shortages that prompted recent Mac and iPad price increases, lawmakers have urged the company to avoid reliance on Chinese suppliers even for China-only devices. These national security concerns, combined with ongoing US-China tensions, create significant barriers that traders view as outweighing supply diversification efforts. Upcoming regulatory decisions or further restrictions could still influence outcomes before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$12,333 वॉल्यूम
$12,333 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$12,333 वॉल्यूम
$12,333 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Strong US political and regulatory opposition, including bipartisan Senate warnings and CXMT's Pentagon blacklist status over alleged military ties, is the main factor supporting the 76.5% market-implied probability of no Apple purchases in 2026. Despite Apple's reported testing of CXMT DRAM chips and lobbying for waivers amid AI-driven memory shortages that prompted recent Mac and iPad price increases, lawmakers have urged the company to avoid reliance on Chinese suppliers even for China-only devices. These national security concerns, combined with ongoing US-China tensions, create significant barriers that traders view as outweighing supply diversification efforts. Upcoming regulatory decisions or further restrictions could still influence outcomes before year-end resolution.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,333समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Strong US political and regulatory opposition, including bipartisan Senate warnings and CXMT's Pentagon blacklist status over alleged military ties, is the main factor supporting the 76.5% market-implied probability of no Apple purchases in 2026. Despite Apple's reported testing of CXMT DRAM chips and lobbying for waivers amid AI-driven memory shortages that prompted recent Mac and iPad price increases, lawmakers have urged the company to avoid reliance on Chinese suppliers even for China-only devices. These national security concerns, combined with ongoing US-China tensions, create significant barriers that traders view as outweighing supply diversification efforts. Upcoming regulatory decisions or further restrictions could still influence outcomes before year-end resolution.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$12,333समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong US political and regulatory opposition, including bipartisan Senate warnings and CXMT's Pentagon blacklist status over alleged military ties, is the main factor supporting the 76.5% market-implied probability of no Apple purchases in 2026. Despite Apple's reported testing of CXMT DRAM chips and lobbying for waivers amid AI-driven memory shortages that prompted recent Mac and iPad price increases, lawmakers have urged the company to avoid reliance on Chinese suppliers even for China-only devices. These national security concerns, combined with ongoing US-China tensions, create significant barriers that traders view as outweighing supply diversification efforts. Upcoming regulatory decisions or further restrictions could still influence outcomes before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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