**Trader consensus favors "No" at 72.5% implied probability that the U.S. will enact an AI safety bill before 2027, reflecting legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress despite recent executive pushes.** The Trump administration's March 20 National Policy Framework urged Congress toward light-touch federal AI regulation prioritizing innovation, child protections, IP safeguards, and state law preemption, but competing bills like H.R. 8037 (Protect American AI Act) and others remain stalled in committees without floor votes. Partisan divides persist—Republicans emphasize competitiveness against China while Democrats seek stronger accountability—amid state-level activity in 27 states passing narrower AI measures. With midterms looming in November 2026 and no whip counts signaling passage, traders see slim odds of reconciliation or omnibus inclusion before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$87,200 वॉल्यूम
$87,200 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$87,200 वॉल्यूम
$87,200 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Trader consensus favors "No" at 72.5% implied probability that the U.S. will enact an AI safety bill before 2027, reflecting legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress despite recent executive pushes.** The Trump administration's March 20 National Policy Framework urged Congress toward light-touch federal AI regulation prioritizing innovation, child protections, IP safeguards, and state law preemption, but competing bills like H.R. 8037 (Protect American AI Act) and others remain stalled in committees without floor votes. Partisan divides persist—Republicans emphasize competitiveness against China while Democrats seek stronger accountability—amid state-level activity in 27 states passing narrower AI measures. With midterms looming in November 2026 and no whip counts signaling passage, traders see slim odds of reconciliation or omnibus inclusion before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$87,200समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Trader consensus favors "No" at 72.5% implied probability that the U.S. will enact an AI safety bill before 2027, reflecting legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress despite recent executive pushes.** The Trump administration's March 20 National Policy Framework urged Congress toward light-touch federal AI regulation prioritizing innovation, child protections, IP safeguards, and state law preemption, but competing bills like H.R. 8037 (Protect American AI Act) and others remain stalled in committees without floor votes. Partisan divides persist—Republicans emphasize competitiveness against China while Democrats seek stronger accountability—amid state-level activity in 27 states passing narrower AI measures. With midterms looming in November 2026 and no whip counts signaling passage, traders see slim odds of reconciliation or omnibus inclusion before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$87,200समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus favors "No" at 72.5% implied probability that the U.S. will enact an AI safety bill before 2027, reflecting legislative gridlock in the 119th Congress despite recent executive pushes.** The Trump administration's March 20 National Policy Framework urged Congress toward light-touch federal AI regulation prioritizing innovation, child protections, IP safeguards, and state law preemption, but competing bills like H.R. 8037 (Protect American AI Act) and others remain stalled in committees without floor votes. Partisan divides persist—Republicans emphasize competitiveness against China while Democrats seek stronger accountability—amid state-level activity in 27 states passing narrower AI measures. With midterms looming in November 2026 and no whip counts signaling passage, traders see slim odds of reconciliation or omnibus inclusion before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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