Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader sentiment, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just two months after Opus 4.8—following a string of upgrades (Opus 4.7 in April, 4.6 in February) that emphasize coding benchmarks like SWE-bench, agentic workflows, and 1M-token context handling. This pace reflects competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, alongside Anthropic’s focus on reliable, long-running agents at lower relative cost than its flagship Fable tier. Recent September updates prioritized Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refinements rather than a new Opus, leaving room for timing slippage from internal safety reviews or compute constraints. Traders price an implied median near September 23, with roughly 80% odds by month-end, though any delay past early October would signal a shift toward longer development cycles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$107,518 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
83%
31 अक्टूबर
99%
31 दिसंबर
98%
$107,518 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$47,591 वॉल्यूम
83%
31 अक्टूबर
$13,267 वॉल्यूम
99%
31 दिसंबर
$5,146 वॉल्यूम
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader sentiment, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just two months after Opus 4.8—following a string of upgrades (Opus 4.7 in April, 4.6 in February) that emphasize coding benchmarks like SWE-bench, agentic workflows, and 1M-token context handling. This pace reflects competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, alongside Anthropic’s focus on reliable, long-running agents at lower relative cost than its flagship Fable tier. Recent September updates prioritized Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refinements rather than a new Opus, leaving room for timing slippage from internal safety reviews or compute constraints. Traders price an implied median near September 23, with roughly 80% odds by month-end, though any delay past early October would signal a shift toward longer development cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$107,518समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader sentiment, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just two months after Opus 4.8—following a string of upgrades (Opus 4.7 in April, 4.6 in February) that emphasize coding benchmarks like SWE-bench, agentic workflows, and 1M-token context handling. This pace reflects competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, alongside Anthropic’s focus on reliable, long-running agents at lower relative cost than its flagship Fable tier. Recent September updates prioritized Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refinements rather than a new Opus, leaving room for timing slippage from internal safety reviews or compute constraints. Traders price an implied median near September 23, with roughly 80% odds by month-end, though any delay past early October would signal a shift toward longer development cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$107,518समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader sentiment, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just two months after Opus 4.8—following a string of upgrades (Opus 4.7 in April, 4.6 in February) that emphasize coding benchmarks like SWE-bench, agentic workflows, and 1M-token context handling. This pace reflects competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google models, alongside Anthropic’s focus on reliable, long-running agents at lower relative cost than its flagship Fable tier. Recent September updates prioritized Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 refinements rather than a new Opus, leaving room for timing slippage from internal safety reviews or compute constraints. Traders price an implied median near September 23, with roughly 80% odds by month-end, though any delay past early October would signal a shift toward longer development cycles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न