Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in May, as part of a rapid cadence of flagship updates emphasizing longer autonomous agent workflows, coding benchmarks, and a 1M-token context window. The company has since shipped Sonnet 5, Fable 5, Mythos 5, and September 1 refreshes to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, reflecting ongoing iteration across tiers amid competition from other frontier large language models. Prediction markets currently imply the next Opus-tier release around late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s pattern of incremental improvements and internal development timelines rather than any confirmed roadmap announcement. Key variables for traders include potential new capability demonstrations at upcoming events, regulatory scrutiny on advanced models, and how quickly safeguards or hardware standards evolve.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$105,628 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
77%
31 अक्टूबर
99%
31 दिसंबर
98%
$105,628 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$45,701 वॉल्यूम
77%
31 अक्टूबर
$13,267 वॉल्यूम
99%
31 दिसंबर
$5,146 वॉल्यूम
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in May, as part of a rapid cadence of flagship updates emphasizing longer autonomous agent workflows, coding benchmarks, and a 1M-token context window. The company has since shipped Sonnet 5, Fable 5, Mythos 5, and September 1 refreshes to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, reflecting ongoing iteration across tiers amid competition from other frontier large language models. Prediction markets currently imply the next Opus-tier release around late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s pattern of incremental improvements and internal development timelines rather than any confirmed roadmap announcement. Key variables for traders include potential new capability demonstrations at upcoming events, regulatory scrutiny on advanced models, and how quickly safeguards or hardware standards evolve.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$105,628समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in May, as part of a rapid cadence of flagship updates emphasizing longer autonomous agent workflows, coding benchmarks, and a 1M-token context window. The company has since shipped Sonnet 5, Fable 5, Mythos 5, and September 1 refreshes to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, reflecting ongoing iteration across tiers amid competition from other frontier large language models. Prediction markets currently imply the next Opus-tier release around late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s pattern of incremental improvements and internal development timelines rather than any confirmed roadmap announcement. Key variables for traders include potential new capability demonstrations at upcoming events, regulatory scrutiny on advanced models, and how quickly safeguards or hardware standards evolve.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$105,628समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, following Opus 4.8 in May, as part of a rapid cadence of flagship updates emphasizing longer autonomous agent workflows, coding benchmarks, and a 1M-token context window. The company has since shipped Sonnet 5, Fable 5, Mythos 5, and September 1 refreshes to Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, reflecting ongoing iteration across tiers amid competition from other frontier large language models. Prediction markets currently imply the next Opus-tier release around late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s pattern of incremental improvements and internal development timelines rather than any confirmed roadmap announcement. Key variables for traders include potential new capability demonstrations at upcoming events, regulatory scrutiny on advanced models, and how quickly safeguards or hardware standards evolve.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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