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चीन की वार्षिक जीडीपी वृद्धि 2026

icon for चीन की वार्षिक जीडीपी वृद्धि 2026

चीन की वार्षिक जीडीपी वृद्धि 2026

4.0–5.0% 87%

5.0–6.0% 11.3%

3.0–4.0% 1.8%

6.0-7.0% <1%

Polymarket

$849,738 वॉल्यूम

4.0–5.0% 87%

5.0–6.0% 11.3%

3.0–4.0% 1.8%

6.0-7.0% <1%

Polymarket

$849,738 वॉल्यूम

<1.0%

$62,833 वॉल्यूम

<1%

1.0–2.0%

$74,124 वॉल्यूम

<1%

2.0–3.0%

$44,750 वॉल्यूम

<1%

3.0–4.0%

$76,365 वॉल्यूम

2%

4.0–5.0%

$215,341 वॉल्यूम

87%

5.0–6.0%

$78,085 वॉल्यूम

11%

6.0-7.0%

$68,485 वॉल्यूम

1%

7.0–8.0%

$62,549 वॉल्यूम

<1%

8.0–9.0%

$51,756 वॉल्यूम

<1%

9.0%+

$115,449 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official growth target of 4.5–5% for 2026, set at the March National People’s Congress, continues to anchor expectations, with most major forecasters—including the OECD, IMF, Goldman Sachs, and Vanguard—projecting full-year expansion between 4.4% and 4.7%. Q1 data showed a 5.0% year-on-year increase, supported by manufacturing investment and exports tied to global AI and green-energy demand, yet retail sales and household consumption remain subdued amid lingering property-sector weakness and deflationary pressures. Policy support has stayed measured, with limited additional stimulus so far this year. These conditions have kept the 4.0–5.0% outcome as the dominant market outcome, reflecting broad alignment between official goals, incoming data, and external forecasts.

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.

The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/

If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$849,738
समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official growth target of 4.5–5% for 2026, set at the March National People’s Congress, continues to anchor expectations, with most major forecasters—including the OECD, IMF, Goldman Sachs, and Vanguard—projecting full-year expansion between 4.4% and 4.7%. Q1 data showed a 5.0% year-on-year increase, supported by manufacturing investment and exports tied to global AI and green-energy demand, yet retail sales and household consumption remain subdued amid lingering property-sector weakness and deflationary pressures. Policy support has stayed measured, with limited additional stimulus so far this year. These conditions have kept the 4.0–5.0% outcome as the dominant market outcome, reflecting broad alignment between official goals, incoming data, and external forecasts.

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.

The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/

If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$849,738
समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"चीन की वार्षिक जीडीपी वृद्धि 2026" Polymarket पर 10 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 4.0–5.0% 87% (87¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 5.0–6.0% 11% पर है।

आज तक, "चीन की वार्षिक जीडीपी वृद्धि 2026" ने कुल $849.7K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jan 21, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"चीन की वार्षिक जीडीपी वृद्धि 2026" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 10 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"चीन की वार्षिक जीडीपी वृद्धि 2026" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "4.0–5.0%" 87% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "5.0–6.0%" 11% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"चीन की वार्षिक जीडीपी वृद्धि 2026" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।