China’s official growth target of 4.5–5% for 2026, set at the March National People’s Congress, continues to anchor expectations, with most major forecasters—including the OECD, IMF, Goldman Sachs, and Vanguard—projecting full-year expansion between 4.4% and 4.7%. Q1 data showed a 5.0% year-on-year increase, supported by manufacturing investment and exports tied to global AI and green-energy demand, yet retail sales and household consumption remain subdued amid lingering property-sector weakness and deflationary pressures. Policy support has stayed measured, with limited additional stimulus so far this year. These conditions have kept the 4.0–5.0% outcome as the dominant market outcome, reflecting broad alignment between official goals, incoming data, and external forecasts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.0–5.0% 87%
5.0–6.0% 11.3%
3.0–4.0% 1.8%
6.0-7.0% <1%
$849,738 वॉल्यूम
$849,738 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
2%
4.0–5.0%
87%
5.0–6.0%
11%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
<1%
9.0%+
<1%
4.0–5.0% 87%
5.0–6.0% 11.3%
3.0–4.0% 1.8%
6.0-7.0% <1%
$849,738 वॉल्यूम
$849,738 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
<1.0%
$62,833 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$74,124 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$44,750 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$76,365 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.0–5.0%
$215,341 वॉल्यूम
87%
5.0–6.0%
$78,085 वॉल्यूम
11%
6.0-7.0%
$68,485 वॉल्यूम
1%
7.0–8.0%
$62,549 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$51,756 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9.0%+
$115,449 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official growth target of 4.5–5% for 2026, set at the March National People’s Congress, continues to anchor expectations, with most major forecasters—including the OECD, IMF, Goldman Sachs, and Vanguard—projecting full-year expansion between 4.4% and 4.7%. Q1 data showed a 5.0% year-on-year increase, supported by manufacturing investment and exports tied to global AI and green-energy demand, yet retail sales and household consumption remain subdued amid lingering property-sector weakness and deflationary pressures. Policy support has stayed measured, with limited additional stimulus so far this year. These conditions have kept the 4.0–5.0% outcome as the dominant market outcome, reflecting broad alignment between official goals, incoming data, and external forecasts.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$849,738समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s official growth target of 4.5–5% for 2026, set at the March National People’s Congress, continues to anchor expectations, with most major forecasters—including the OECD, IMF, Goldman Sachs, and Vanguard—projecting full-year expansion between 4.4% and 4.7%. Q1 data showed a 5.0% year-on-year increase, supported by manufacturing investment and exports tied to global AI and green-energy demand, yet retail sales and household consumption remain subdued amid lingering property-sector weakness and deflationary pressures. Policy support has stayed measured, with limited additional stimulus so far this year. These conditions have kept the 4.0–5.0% outcome as the dominant market outcome, reflecting broad alignment between official goals, incoming data, and external forecasts.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$849,738समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s official growth target of 4.5–5% for 2026, set at the March National People’s Congress, continues to anchor expectations, with most major forecasters—including the OECD, IMF, Goldman Sachs, and Vanguard—projecting full-year expansion between 4.4% and 4.7%. Q1 data showed a 5.0% year-on-year increase, supported by manufacturing investment and exports tied to global AI and green-energy demand, yet retail sales and household consumption remain subdued amid lingering property-sector weakness and deflationary pressures. Policy support has stayed measured, with limited additional stimulus so far this year. These conditions have kept the 4.0–5.0% outcome as the dominant market outcome, reflecting broad alignment between official goals, incoming data, and external forecasts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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