China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% anchors trader consensus in the 4.0-5.0% range, reinforced by recent forecaster revisions clustering near 4.4-4.7% from institutions including Goldman Sachs and the World Bank. Strong industrial output and export momentum in high-tech sectors have offset persistent domestic weakness, including subdued retail sales, sharply lower fixed-asset investment, and ongoing property sector contraction. Incremental fiscal measures, such as special bond issuance and targeted infrastructure support, are expected to help meet the target without broad stimulus. Deeper property deterioration, escalated trade frictions, or delayed policy effects could push outcomes below 4%, while faster consumption recovery or additional easing might lift growth above 5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.0–5.0% 91%
5.0–6.0% 5.8%
9.0%+ 1.9%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
$907,644 वॉल्यूम
$907,644 वॉल्यूम
30 जन, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
91%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
2%
4.0–5.0% 91%
5.0–6.0% 5.8%
9.0%+ 1.9%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
$907,644 वॉल्यूम
$907,644 वॉल्यूम
30 जन, 2027
<1.0%
$68,060 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,529 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$46,025 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,482 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.0–5.0%
$230,033 वॉल्यूम
91%
5.0–6.0%
$80,900 वॉल्यूम
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,943 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,761 वॉल्यूम
1%
9.0%+
$117,557 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% anchors trader consensus in the 4.0-5.0% range, reinforced by recent forecaster revisions clustering near 4.4-4.7% from institutions including Goldman Sachs and the World Bank. Strong industrial output and export momentum in high-tech sectors have offset persistent domestic weakness, including subdued retail sales, sharply lower fixed-asset investment, and ongoing property sector contraction. Incremental fiscal measures, such as special bond issuance and targeted infrastructure support, are expected to help meet the target without broad stimulus. Deeper property deterioration, escalated trade frictions, or delayed policy effects could push outcomes below 4%, while faster consumption recovery or additional easing might lift growth above 5%.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$907,644समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% anchors trader consensus in the 4.0-5.0% range, reinforced by recent forecaster revisions clustering near 4.4-4.7% from institutions including Goldman Sachs and the World Bank. Strong industrial output and export momentum in high-tech sectors have offset persistent domestic weakness, including subdued retail sales, sharply lower fixed-asset investment, and ongoing property sector contraction. Incremental fiscal measures, such as special bond issuance and targeted infrastructure support, are expected to help meet the target without broad stimulus. Deeper property deterioration, escalated trade frictions, or delayed policy effects could push outcomes below 4%, while faster consumption recovery or additional easing might lift growth above 5%.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$907,644समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% anchors trader consensus in the 4.0-5.0% range, reinforced by recent forecaster revisions clustering near 4.4-4.7% from institutions including Goldman Sachs and the World Bank. Strong industrial output and export momentum in high-tech sectors have offset persistent domestic weakness, including subdued retail sales, sharply lower fixed-asset investment, and ongoing property sector contraction. Incremental fiscal measures, such as special bond issuance and targeted infrastructure support, are expected to help meet the target without broad stimulus. Deeper property deterioration, escalated trade frictions, or delayed policy effects could push outcomes below 4%, while faster consumption recovery or additional easing might lift growth above 5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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