China’s 2026 GDP growth forecasts cluster tightly around 4.5–4.7 percent across major institutions including the OECD, IMF, ADB, and Reuters economist polls, aligning directly with the government’s 4.5–5.0 percent target set at the March Two Sessions. First-half 2026 data showed 4.7 percent expansion, with Q2 moderating to 4.3 percent amid softening domestic demand and continued property-sector weakness, offset by resilient exports, high-tech manufacturing, and green-transition investment. Recent easing of certain geopolitical tensions has reduced downside risks without altering the structural growth trajectory. Trader consensus in the 4.0–5.0 percent range therefore reflects this stable but moderate outlook, with limited probability assigned to materially stronger or weaker outcomes absent major policy shifts or external shocks before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.0–5.0% 87%
5.0–6.0% 11.6%
3.0–4.0% 1.8%
6.0-7.0% <1%
$852,356 वॉल्यूम
$852,356 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
2%
4.0–5.0%
87%
5.0–6.0%
12%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
<1%
9.0%+
<1%
4.0–5.0% 87%
5.0–6.0% 11.6%
3.0–4.0% 1.8%
6.0-7.0% <1%
$852,356 वॉल्यूम
$852,356 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
<1.0%
$62,833 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$74,124 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$44,750 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$78,746 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.0–5.0%
$215,394 वॉल्यूम
87%
5.0–6.0%
$78,269 वॉल्यूम
12%
6.0-7.0%
$68,485 वॉल्यूम
1%
7.0–8.0%
$62,549 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$51,756 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9.0%+
$115,449 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s 2026 GDP growth forecasts cluster tightly around 4.5–4.7 percent across major institutions including the OECD, IMF, ADB, and Reuters economist polls, aligning directly with the government’s 4.5–5.0 percent target set at the March Two Sessions. First-half 2026 data showed 4.7 percent expansion, with Q2 moderating to 4.3 percent amid softening domestic demand and continued property-sector weakness, offset by resilient exports, high-tech manufacturing, and green-transition investment. Recent easing of certain geopolitical tensions has reduced downside risks without altering the structural growth trajectory. Trader consensus in the 4.0–5.0 percent range therefore reflects this stable but moderate outlook, with limited probability assigned to materially stronger or weaker outcomes absent major policy shifts or external shocks before year-end.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$852,356समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s 2026 GDP growth forecasts cluster tightly around 4.5–4.7 percent across major institutions including the OECD, IMF, ADB, and Reuters economist polls, aligning directly with the government’s 4.5–5.0 percent target set at the March Two Sessions. First-half 2026 data showed 4.7 percent expansion, with Q2 moderating to 4.3 percent amid softening domestic demand and continued property-sector weakness, offset by resilient exports, high-tech manufacturing, and green-transition investment. Recent easing of certain geopolitical tensions has reduced downside risks without altering the structural growth trajectory. Trader consensus in the 4.0–5.0 percent range therefore reflects this stable but moderate outlook, with limited probability assigned to materially stronger or weaker outcomes absent major policy shifts or external shocks before year-end.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$852,356समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s 2026 GDP growth forecasts cluster tightly around 4.5–4.7 percent across major institutions including the OECD, IMF, ADB, and Reuters economist polls, aligning directly with the government’s 4.5–5.0 percent target set at the March Two Sessions. First-half 2026 data showed 4.7 percent expansion, with Q2 moderating to 4.3 percent amid softening domestic demand and continued property-sector weakness, offset by resilient exports, high-tech manufacturing, and green-transition investment. Recent easing of certain geopolitical tensions has reduced downside risks without altering the structural growth trajectory. Trader consensus in the 4.0–5.0 percent range therefore reflects this stable but moderate outlook, with limited probability assigned to materially stronger or weaker outcomes absent major policy shifts or external shocks before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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