Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showing a 1.5% quarter-over-quarter rebound from a 0.6% contraction has anchored trader expectations for modest sequential expansion in Q3, with the 1.5-2.5% range commanding over 60% combined implied probability. Weak investment, sticky core inflation near 4.5%, and Banxico’s pause in rate cuts at 6.5% continue to weigh on domestic demand, while resilient U.S. exports and consumption provide support. Annual 2026 consensus forecasts cluster near 1.3%, consistent with the market’s central tendency and reflecting limited upside from potential USMCA stability or downside from trade or energy-price risks. Key near-term catalysts include August inflation prints and the next Banxico policy decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
1.5-2.0% 35%
2.0-2.5% 27%
1.0-1.5% 18%
2.5-3.0% 11%
नया
नया
30 अक्टू, 2026
<0.5%
4%
0.5-1.0%
4%
1.0-1.5%
18%
1.5-2.0%
35%
2.0-2.5%
27%
2.5-3.0%
11%
3.0-3.5%
8%
3.5%+
3%
1.5-2.0% 35%
2.0-2.5% 27%
1.0-1.5% 18%
2.5-3.0% 11%
नया
नया
30 अक्टू, 2026
<0.5%
$144 वॉल्यूम
4%
0.5-1.0%
$143 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.0-1.5%
$343 वॉल्यूम
18%
1.5-2.0%
$2,237 वॉल्यूम
35%
2.0-2.5%
$3,976 वॉल्यूम
27%
2.5-3.0%
$275 वॉल्यूम
11%
3.0-3.5%
$163 वॉल्यूम
8%
3.5%+
$143 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showing a 1.5% quarter-over-quarter rebound from a 0.6% contraction has anchored trader expectations for modest sequential expansion in Q3, with the 1.5-2.5% range commanding over 60% combined implied probability. Weak investment, sticky core inflation near 4.5%, and Banxico’s pause in rate cuts at 6.5% continue to weigh on domestic demand, while resilient U.S. exports and consumption provide support. Annual 2026 consensus forecasts cluster near 1.3%, consistent with the market’s central tendency and reflecting limited upside from potential USMCA stability or downside from trade or energy-price risks. Key near-term catalysts include August inflation prints and the next Banxico policy decision.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,425समाप्ति तिथि
30 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showing a 1.5% quarter-over-quarter rebound from a 0.6% contraction has anchored trader expectations for modest sequential expansion in Q3, with the 1.5-2.5% range commanding over 60% combined implied probability. Weak investment, sticky core inflation near 4.5%, and Banxico’s pause in rate cuts at 6.5% continue to weigh on domestic demand, while resilient U.S. exports and consumption provide support. Annual 2026 consensus forecasts cluster near 1.3%, consistent with the market’s central tendency and reflecting limited upside from potential USMCA stability or downside from trade or energy-price risks. Key near-term catalysts include August inflation prints and the next Banxico policy decision.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$7,425समाप्ति तिथि
30 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 GDP data showing a 1.5% quarter-over-quarter rebound from a 0.6% contraction has anchored trader expectations for modest sequential expansion in Q3, with the 1.5-2.5% range commanding over 60% combined implied probability. Weak investment, sticky core inflation near 4.5%, and Banxico’s pause in rate cuts at 6.5% continue to weigh on domestic demand, while resilient U.S. exports and consumption provide support. Annual 2026 consensus forecasts cluster near 1.3%, consistent with the market’s central tendency and reflecting limited upside from potential USMCA stability or downside from trade or energy-price risks. Key near-term catalysts include August inflation prints and the next Banxico policy decision.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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