Recent U.S. GDP data and consensus forecasts anchor trader sentiment around the 1.5–2.5% range for full-year 2026 growth. The Q2 2026 advance estimate of 1.5% annualized, down from 2.1% in Q1, has tempered near-term momentum, yet this is offset by resilient consumer spending, robust AI-driven capital expenditures, and a shift toward investment-led expansion. Professional forecasters, including the Philadelphia Fed SPF and CBO, project 2.0–2.2% annual-average growth, while FOMC median estimates from June cluster near 2.2%. Key swing factors include upcoming Q3 GDP releases, labor-market trends, inflation trajectory, and any further fiscal or trade-policy shifts that could alter the balance between the tightly clustered 1.5–2.0%, 2.0–2.5%, and >2.5% outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में जीडीपी की वृद्धि
2026 में जीडीपी की वृद्धि
2.0–2.5% 32%
1.5–2.0% 29.5%
>2.5% 26%
1.0–1.5% 7.8%
$58,347 वॉल्यूम
$58,347 वॉल्यूम
28 जन, 2027
<0.5%
4%
0.5–1.0%
2%
1.0–1.5%
8%
1.5–2.0%
30%
2.0–2.5%
32%
>2.5%
33%
2.0–2.5% 32%
1.5–2.0% 29.5%
>2.5% 26%
1.0–1.5% 7.8%
$58,347 वॉल्यूम
$58,347 वॉल्यूम
28 जन, 2027
<0.5%
$7,480 वॉल्यूम
4%
0.5–1.0%
$17,293 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.0–1.5%
$3,825 वॉल्यूम
8%
1.5–2.0%
$6,633 वॉल्यूम
30%
2.0–2.5%
$7,104 वॉल्यूम
32%
>2.5%
$16,011 वॉल्यूम
33%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. GDP data and consensus forecasts anchor trader sentiment around the 1.5–2.5% range for full-year 2026 growth. The Q2 2026 advance estimate of 1.5% annualized, down from 2.1% in Q1, has tempered near-term momentum, yet this is offset by resilient consumer spending, robust AI-driven capital expenditures, and a shift toward investment-led expansion. Professional forecasters, including the Philadelphia Fed SPF and CBO, project 2.0–2.2% annual-average growth, while FOMC median estimates from June cluster near 2.2%. Key swing factors include upcoming Q3 GDP releases, labor-market trends, inflation trajectory, and any further fiscal or trade-policy shifts that could alter the balance between the tightly clustered 1.5–2.0%, 2.0–2.5%, and >2.5% outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,347समाप्ति तिथि
29 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. GDP data and consensus forecasts anchor trader sentiment around the 1.5–2.5% range for full-year 2026 growth. The Q2 2026 advance estimate of 1.5% annualized, down from 2.1% in Q1, has tempered near-term momentum, yet this is offset by resilient consumer spending, robust AI-driven capital expenditures, and a shift toward investment-led expansion. Professional forecasters, including the Philadelphia Fed SPF and CBO, project 2.0–2.2% annual-average growth, while FOMC median estimates from June cluster near 2.2%. Key swing factors include upcoming Q3 GDP releases, labor-market trends, inflation trajectory, and any further fiscal or trade-policy shifts that could alter the balance between the tightly clustered 1.5–2.0%, 2.0–2.5%, and >2.5% outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$58,347समाप्ति तिथि
29 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. GDP data and consensus forecasts anchor trader sentiment around the 1.5–2.5% range for full-year 2026 growth. The Q2 2026 advance estimate of 1.5% annualized, down from 2.1% in Q1, has tempered near-term momentum, yet this is offset by resilient consumer spending, robust AI-driven capital expenditures, and a shift toward investment-led expansion. Professional forecasters, including the Philadelphia Fed SPF and CBO, project 2.0–2.2% annual-average growth, while FOMC median estimates from June cluster near 2.2%. Key swing factors include upcoming Q3 GDP releases, labor-market trends, inflation trajectory, and any further fiscal or trade-policy shifts that could alter the balance between the tightly clustered 1.5–2.0%, 2.0–2.5%, and >2.5% outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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