Recent U.S. economic data releases, including Q2 2026 GDP and monthly indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and CPI, have shaped the closely matched implied probabilities across the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% ranges for full-year 2026 growth. Traders weigh moderating inflation trends and steady labor market conditions against potential downside risks from higher Treasury yields and policy uncertainty. Forward-looking consensus forecasts from major institutions remain clustered near 2%, with leading indicators like ISM manufacturing and consumer spending showing mixed momentum. Upcoming catalysts include the Q3 GDP advance estimate and September FOMC communications, which could shift market-implied odds if growth or inflation readings deviate from expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में जीडीपी की वृद्धि
2026 में जीडीपी की वृद्धि
2.0–2.5% 32%
1.5–2.0% 29.5%
>2.5% 25%
1.0–1.5% 9.7%
$58,341 वॉल्यूम
$58,341 वॉल्यूम
29 जन, 2027
<0.5%
5%
0.5–1.0%
1%
1.0–1.5%
10%
1.5–2.0%
30%
2.0–2.5%
32%
>2.5%
25%
2.0–2.5% 32%
1.5–2.0% 29.5%
>2.5% 25%
1.0–1.5% 9.7%
$58,341 वॉल्यूम
$58,341 वॉल्यूम
29 जन, 2027
<0.5%
$7,480 वॉल्यूम
5%
0.5–1.0%
$17,293 वॉल्यूम
1%
1.0–1.5%
$3,825 वॉल्यूम
10%
1.5–2.0%
$6,633 वॉल्यूम
30%
2.0–2.5%
$7,104 वॉल्यूम
32%
>2.5%
$16,005 वॉल्यूम
25%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data releases, including Q2 2026 GDP and monthly indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and CPI, have shaped the closely matched implied probabilities across the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% ranges for full-year 2026 growth. Traders weigh moderating inflation trends and steady labor market conditions against potential downside risks from higher Treasury yields and policy uncertainty. Forward-looking consensus forecasts from major institutions remain clustered near 2%, with leading indicators like ISM manufacturing and consumer spending showing mixed momentum. Upcoming catalysts include the Q3 GDP advance estimate and September FOMC communications, which could shift market-implied odds if growth or inflation readings deviate from expectations.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,341समाप्ति तिथि
29 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data releases, including Q2 2026 GDP and monthly indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and CPI, have shaped the closely matched implied probabilities across the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% ranges for full-year 2026 growth. Traders weigh moderating inflation trends and steady labor market conditions against potential downside risks from higher Treasury yields and policy uncertainty. Forward-looking consensus forecasts from major institutions remain clustered near 2%, with leading indicators like ISM manufacturing and consumer spending showing mixed momentum. Upcoming catalysts include the Q3 GDP advance estimate and September FOMC communications, which could shift market-implied odds if growth or inflation readings deviate from expectations.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$58,341समाप्ति तिथि
29 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. economic data releases, including Q2 2026 GDP and monthly indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and CPI, have shaped the closely matched implied probabilities across the 1.5–2.0% and 2.0–2.5% ranges for full-year 2026 growth. Traders weigh moderating inflation trends and steady labor market conditions against potential downside risks from higher Treasury yields and policy uncertainty. Forward-looking consensus forecasts from major institutions remain clustered near 2%, with leading indicators like ISM manufacturing and consumer spending showing mixed momentum. Upcoming catalysts include the Q3 GDP advance estimate and September FOMC communications, which could shift market-implied odds if growth or inflation readings deviate from expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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