Recent July 2026 core CPI data, which printed at 2.5% year-over-year after 2.6% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts projecting a 2.38% reading for August, has anchored trader positioning around 2.4%. Moderating shelter costs, softer gains in services categories, and a cooling labor market have reinforced expectations for continued disinflation, while lingering tariff effects and energy volatility introduce upside risks. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with upcoming August employment and producer price data serving as key inputs ahead of the mid-September release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2.4% 38%
2.3% 21%
2.5% 20%
2.7% 8%
≤2.0%
4%
2.1%
2%
2.2%
7%
2.3%
21%
2.4%
38%
2.5%
20%
2.6%
7%
2.7%
8%
2.8%
6%
≥2.9%
3%
2.4% 38%
2.3% 21%
2.5% 20%
2.7% 8%
≤2.0%
4%
2.1%
2%
2.2%
7%
2.3%
21%
2.4%
38%
2.5%
20%
2.6%
7%
2.7%
8%
2.8%
6%
≥2.9%
3%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 core CPI data, which printed at 2.5% year-over-year after 2.6% in June, combined with Cleveland Fed nowcasts projecting a 2.38% reading for August, has anchored trader positioning around 2.4%. Moderating shelter costs, softer gains in services categories, and a cooling labor market have reinforced expectations for continued disinflation, while lingering tariff effects and energy volatility introduce upside risks. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with upcoming August employment and producer price data serving as key inputs ahead of the mid-September release.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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