Tight cattle supplies from the smallest U.S. herd in 75 years—86.2 million head—remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with ongoing herd contraction and a closed southern border limiting Mexican imports due to screwworm risks. USDA forecasts place 2026 fed cattle prices near $251 per cwt amid lower slaughter volumes and beef production, while retail Choice beef prices have risen over 20% from early 2025 levels. Strong consumer demand and limited near-term herd rebuilding until at least 2028 sustain upward pressure and volatility. Key upcoming factors include feedlot placements, any border policy shifts, and seasonal slaughter data that could influence retail ground beef benchmarks through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$21,216 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
$7.000+
72%
$8.000+
47%
$9.000+
28%
$10.000+
22%
$21,216 वॉल्यूम
$7.000+
$53 वॉल्यूम
72%
$8.000+
$1,895 वॉल्यूम
47%
$9.000+
$703 वॉल्यूम
28%
$10.000+
$18,565 वॉल्यूम
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies from the smallest U.S. herd in 75 years—86.2 million head—remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with ongoing herd contraction and a closed southern border limiting Mexican imports due to screwworm risks. USDA forecasts place 2026 fed cattle prices near $251 per cwt amid lower slaughter volumes and beef production, while retail Choice beef prices have risen over 20% from early 2025 levels. Strong consumer demand and limited near-term herd rebuilding until at least 2028 sustain upward pressure and volatility. Key upcoming factors include feedlot placements, any border policy shifts, and seasonal slaughter data that could influence retail ground beef benchmarks through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,216समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies from the smallest U.S. herd in 75 years—86.2 million head—remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with ongoing herd contraction and a closed southern border limiting Mexican imports due to screwworm risks. USDA forecasts place 2026 fed cattle prices near $251 per cwt amid lower slaughter volumes and beef production, while retail Choice beef prices have risen over 20% from early 2025 levels. Strong consumer demand and limited near-term herd rebuilding until at least 2028 sustain upward pressure and volatility. Key upcoming factors include feedlot placements, any border policy shifts, and seasonal slaughter data that could influence retail ground beef benchmarks through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$21,216समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle supplies from the smallest U.S. herd in 75 years—86.2 million head—remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with ongoing herd contraction and a closed southern border limiting Mexican imports due to screwworm risks. USDA forecasts place 2026 fed cattle prices near $251 per cwt amid lower slaughter volumes and beef production, while retail Choice beef prices have risen over 20% from early 2025 levels. Strong consumer demand and limited near-term herd rebuilding until at least 2028 sustain upward pressure and volatility. Key upcoming factors include feedlot placements, any border policy shifts, and seasonal slaughter data that could influence retail ground beef benchmarks through year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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