Recent Fed communications and the September 16 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range, driven by sticky core inflation near 3.4% and resilient labor markets with unemployment at 4.1%, anchor trader expectations for the January 2027 FOMC decision. The latest dot plot shows a median path of one additional 25 basis point increase by year-end 2026 followed by steady policy through 2027, supporting the 57.5% implied probability of no change while the 33.5% odds of a further hike reflect ongoing inflation risks from energy prices and supply shocks. Upcoming October and December meetings will provide key data on PCE trends and job growth before January.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 34%
25 bps decrease 6%
50+ bps decrease 3.0%
$93,599 वॉल्यूम
$93,599 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
6%
No change
57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
34%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
2%
No change 57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 34%
25 bps decrease 6%
50+ bps decrease 3.0%
$93,599 वॉल्यूम
$93,599 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
$15,221 वॉल्यूम
3%
25 bps decrease
$22,892 वॉल्यूम
6%
No change
$21,794 वॉल्यूम
57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$27,628 वॉल्यूम
34%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$6,064 वॉल्यूम
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Fed communications and the September 16 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range, driven by sticky core inflation near 3.4% and resilient labor markets with unemployment at 4.1%, anchor trader expectations for the January 2027 FOMC decision. The latest dot plot shows a median path of one additional 25 basis point increase by year-end 2026 followed by steady policy through 2027, supporting the 57.5% implied probability of no change while the 33.5% odds of a further hike reflect ongoing inflation risks from energy prices and supply shocks. Upcoming October and December meetings will provide key data on PCE trends and job growth before January.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$93,599समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Fed communications and the September 16 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range, driven by sticky core inflation near 3.4% and resilient labor markets with unemployment at 4.1%, anchor trader expectations for the January 2027 FOMC decision. The latest dot plot shows a median path of one additional 25 basis point increase by year-end 2026 followed by steady policy through 2027, supporting the 57.5% implied probability of no change while the 33.5% odds of a further hike reflect ongoing inflation risks from energy prices and supply shocks. Upcoming October and December meetings will provide key data on PCE trends and job growth before January.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$93,599समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent Fed communications and the September 16 rate hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range, driven by sticky core inflation near 3.4% and resilient labor markets with unemployment at 4.1%, anchor trader expectations for the January 2027 FOMC decision. The latest dot plot shows a median path of one additional 25 basis point increase by year-end 2026 followed by steady policy through 2027, supporting the 57.5% implied probability of no change while the 33.5% odds of a further hike reflect ongoing inflation risks from energy prices and supply shocks. Upcoming October and December meetings will provide key data on PCE trends and job growth before January.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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