Market-implied odds assign a 57% probability to no change at the January FOMC meeting, driven by recent inflation data showing persistent but contained price pressures alongside a labor market that has cooled without signaling recession. Traders appear to view the current federal funds rate as appropriately restrictive, with Treasury yields and forward-looking indicators aligning with a steady policy path rather than immediate adjustments. Upcoming CPI and employment releases through late 2026 remain key swing factors that could shift the 31% odds on a 25-basis-point hike or the smaller probabilities attached to cuts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 31%
25 bps decrease 10%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$83,668 वॉल्यूम
$83,668 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
10%
No change
57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
31%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
2%
No change 57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 31%
25 bps decrease 10%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$83,668 वॉल्यूम
$83,668 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
$14,114 वॉल्यूम
5%
25 bps decrease
$19,606 वॉल्यूम
10%
No change
$21,720 वॉल्यूम
57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$22,706 वॉल्यूम
31%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$5,523 वॉल्यूम
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Market-implied odds assign a 57% probability to no change at the January FOMC meeting, driven by recent inflation data showing persistent but contained price pressures alongside a labor market that has cooled without signaling recession. Traders appear to view the current federal funds rate as appropriately restrictive, with Treasury yields and forward-looking indicators aligning with a steady policy path rather than immediate adjustments. Upcoming CPI and employment releases through late 2026 remain key swing factors that could shift the 31% odds on a 25-basis-point hike or the smaller probabilities attached to cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$83,668समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Market-implied odds assign a 57% probability to no change at the January FOMC meeting, driven by recent inflation data showing persistent but contained price pressures alongside a labor market that has cooled without signaling recession. Traders appear to view the current federal funds rate as appropriately restrictive, with Treasury yields and forward-looking indicators aligning with a steady policy path rather than immediate adjustments. Upcoming CPI and employment releases through late 2026 remain key swing factors that could shift the 31% odds on a 25-basis-point hike or the smaller probabilities attached to cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$83,668समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds assign a 57% probability to no change at the January FOMC meeting, driven by recent inflation data showing persistent but contained price pressures alongside a labor market that has cooled without signaling recession. Traders appear to view the current federal funds rate as appropriately restrictive, with Treasury yields and forward-looking indicators aligning with a steady policy path rather than immediate adjustments. Upcoming CPI and employment releases through late 2026 remain key swing factors that could shift the 31% odds on a 25-basis-point hike or the smaller probabilities attached to cuts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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