Elevated inflation pressures, driven by higher energy prices, have kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range through mid-2026, with markets pricing potential hikes rather than cuts amid solid economic growth. Recent FOMC projections and analyst forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan point to the first policy easing only in 2027, reflecting the committee’s focus on its 2% inflation mandate and reduced recession risks. This backdrop underpins the 93% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027, as trader consensus views standard meeting cycles as sufficient absent acute shocks. A sharp downturn, banking stress, or geopolitical escalation triggering a sudden demand collapse could still prompt an intermeeting move.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
7% संभावना
$136,164 वॉल्यूम
$136,164 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
7% संभावना
$136,164 वॉल्यूम
$136,164 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Elevated inflation pressures, driven by higher energy prices, have kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range through mid-2026, with markets pricing potential hikes rather than cuts amid solid economic growth. Recent FOMC projections and analyst forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan point to the first policy easing only in 2027, reflecting the committee’s focus on its 2% inflation mandate and reduced recession risks. This backdrop underpins the 93% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027, as trader consensus views standard meeting cycles as sufficient absent acute shocks. A sharp downturn, banking stress, or geopolitical escalation triggering a sudden demand collapse could still prompt an intermeeting move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$136,164समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Elevated inflation pressures, driven by higher energy prices, have kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range through mid-2026, with markets pricing potential hikes rather than cuts amid solid economic growth. Recent FOMC projections and analyst forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan point to the first policy easing only in 2027, reflecting the committee’s focus on its 2% inflation mandate and reduced recession risks. This backdrop underpins the 93% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027, as trader consensus views standard meeting cycles as sufficient absent acute shocks. A sharp downturn, banking stress, or geopolitical escalation triggering a sudden demand collapse could still prompt an intermeeting move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
वॉल्यूम
$136,164समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation pressures, driven by higher energy prices, have kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range through mid-2026, with markets pricing potential hikes rather than cuts amid solid economic growth. Recent FOMC projections and analyst forecasts from firms like Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan point to the first policy easing only in 2027, reflecting the committee’s focus on its 2% inflation mandate and reduced recession risks. This backdrop underpins the 93% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027, as trader consensus views standard meeting cycles as sufficient absent acute shocks. A sharp downturn, banking stress, or geopolitical escalation triggering a sudden demand collapse could still prompt an intermeeting move.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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