Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by solid U.S. economic expansion and persistent inflation pressures revealed in the March 18, 2026 FOMC statement and subsequent minutes. Officials held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, citing stable unemployment near 4.4%, low but steady job gains, and elevated inflation exacerbated by an oil shock from the Iran conflict, prompting some openness to hikes rather than easing. Absent acute financial stress or recession signals—unlike 2008 or COVID precedents—this reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in orderly policy via scheduled meetings. Realistic challenges include sudden labor market deterioration or escalated geopolitical risks sparking market turmoil ahead of the April 29-30 FOMC.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$100,339 वॉल्यूम
$100,339 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$100,339 वॉल्यूम
$100,339 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by solid U.S. economic expansion and persistent inflation pressures revealed in the March 18, 2026 FOMC statement and subsequent minutes. Officials held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, citing stable unemployment near 4.4%, low but steady job gains, and elevated inflation exacerbated by an oil shock from the Iran conflict, prompting some openness to hikes rather than easing. Absent acute financial stress or recession signals—unlike 2008 or COVID precedents—this reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in orderly policy via scheduled meetings. Realistic challenges include sudden labor market deterioration or escalated geopolitical risks sparking market turmoil ahead of the April 29-30 FOMC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$100,339समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by solid U.S. economic expansion and persistent inflation pressures revealed in the March 18, 2026 FOMC statement and subsequent minutes. Officials held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, citing stable unemployment near 4.4%, low but steady job gains, and elevated inflation exacerbated by an oil shock from the Iran conflict, prompting some openness to hikes rather than easing. Absent acute financial stress or recession signals—unlike 2008 or COVID precedents—this reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in orderly policy via scheduled meetings. Realistic challenges include sudden labor market deterioration or escalated geopolitical risks sparking market turmoil ahead of the April 29-30 FOMC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
वॉल्यूम
$100,339समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by solid U.S. economic expansion and persistent inflation pressures revealed in the March 18, 2026 FOMC statement and subsequent minutes. Officials held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, citing stable unemployment near 4.4%, low but steady job gains, and elevated inflation exacerbated by an oil shock from the Iran conflict, prompting some openness to hikes rather than easing. Absent acute financial stress or recession signals—unlike 2008 or COVID precedents—this reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in orderly policy via scheduled meetings. Realistic challenges include sudden labor market deterioration or escalated geopolitical risks sparking market turmoil ahead of the April 29-30 FOMC.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न