Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for U.K. annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.5% in 2026, narrowly ahead of 3.5–3.9% at 33%, reflecting sticky price pressures amid Middle East conflict risks. February 2026 CPI held at 3.0% year-over-year, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2% from 3.1%, driven by persistent services costs and elevated energy prices from the Iran war, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its March Monetary Policy Committee meeting and revise near-term inflation forecasts higher to around 3% in Q2. The closely contested leading bins highlight uncertainty over shock persistence versus base effects, with March CPI data due April 22 as a key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.5%+ 34%
3.5–3.9% 28%
4.0-4.4% 18%
1.5–1.9% 11.0%
नया
नया
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
11%
2.0–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.9%
22%
3.5–3.9%
28%
4.0-4.4%
26%
4.5%+
47%
4.5%+ 34%
3.5–3.9% 28%
4.0-4.4% 18%
1.5–1.9% 11.0%
नया
नया
20 जन, 2027
<1.0%
$601 वॉल्यूम
3%
1.0–1.4%
$325 वॉल्यूम
5%
1.5–1.9%
$478 वॉल्यूम
11%
2.0–2.4%
$305 वॉल्यूम
5%
2.5–2.9%
$380 वॉल्यूम
22%
3.5–3.9%
$252 वॉल्यूम
28%
4.0-4.4%
$398 वॉल्यूम
26%
4.5%+
$753 वॉल्यूम
47%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for U.K. annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.5% in 2026, narrowly ahead of 3.5–3.9% at 33%, reflecting sticky price pressures amid Middle East conflict risks. February 2026 CPI held at 3.0% year-over-year, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2% from 3.1%, driven by persistent services costs and elevated energy prices from the Iran war, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its March Monetary Policy Committee meeting and revise near-term inflation forecasts higher to around 3% in Q2. The closely contested leading bins highlight uncertainty over shock persistence versus base effects, with March CPI data due April 22 as a key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,492समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for U.K. annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.5% in 2026, narrowly ahead of 3.5–3.9% at 33%, reflecting sticky price pressures amid Middle East conflict risks. February 2026 CPI held at 3.0% year-over-year, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2% from 3.1%, driven by persistent services costs and elevated energy prices from the Iran war, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its March Monetary Policy Committee meeting and revise near-term inflation forecasts higher to around 3% in Q2. The closely contested leading bins highlight uncertainty over shock persistence versus base effects, with March CPI data due April 22 as a key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
वॉल्यूम
$3,492समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for U.K. annual CPI inflation exceeding 4.5% in 2026, narrowly ahead of 3.5–3.9% at 33%, reflecting sticky price pressures amid Middle East conflict risks. February 2026 CPI held at 3.0% year-over-year, with core inflation ticking up to 3.2% from 3.1%, driven by persistent services costs and elevated energy prices from the Iran war, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its March Monetary Policy Committee meeting and revise near-term inflation forecasts higher to around 3% in Q2. The closely contested leading bins highlight uncertainty over shock persistence versus base effects, with March CPI data due April 22 as a key swing factor ahead of year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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