Recent disinflation in Mexico has moderated after headline CPI eased to a multi-year low of 3.12% in July 2026 before rebounding to 3.26% in early August, driven by food price volatility and persistent services pressures. Banxico’s August quarterly report projects average headline and core inflation near 3.5% for Q4 2026 while delaying convergence to the 3% target until late 2027, citing upside risks from USMCA trade uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, climate shocks, and peso depreciation. Analyst surveys cluster year-end 2026 expectations around 4.0%, supporting market-implied probabilities concentrated in the 3.50–4.49% buckets as traders weigh sticky core readings near 3.9% against gradual monetary easing at the unchanged 6.50% policy rate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामेक्सिको वार्षिक मुद्रास्फीति 2026
3.50% से 3.99% 32.8%
4.00% से 4.49% 25%
3.00% से 3.49% 20.3%
4.50% से 4.99% 9%
$65,972 वॉल्यूम
$65,972 वॉल्यूम
<2.50%
2%
2.50% से 2.99%
7%
3.00% से 3.49%
20%
3.50% से 3.99%
33%
4.00% से 4.49%
25%
4.50% से 4.99%
9%
5.00% से 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% से 3.99% 32.8%
4.00% से 4.49% 25%
3.00% से 3.49% 20.3%
4.50% से 4.99% 9%
$65,972 वॉल्यूम
$65,972 वॉल्यूम
<2.50%
2%
2.50% से 2.99%
7%
3.00% से 3.49%
20%
3.50% से 3.99%
33%
4.00% से 4.49%
25%
4.50% से 4.99%
9%
5.00% से 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
3%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Recent disinflation in Mexico has moderated after headline CPI eased to a multi-year low of 3.12% in July 2026 before rebounding to 3.26% in early August, driven by food price volatility and persistent services pressures. Banxico’s August quarterly report projects average headline and core inflation near 3.5% for Q4 2026 while delaying convergence to the 3% target until late 2027, citing upside risks from USMCA trade uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, climate shocks, and peso depreciation. Analyst surveys cluster year-end 2026 expectations around 4.0%, supporting market-implied probabilities concentrated in the 3.50–4.49% buckets as traders weigh sticky core readings near 3.9% against gradual monetary easing at the unchanged 6.50% policy rate.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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