Recent softening in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year and a weak nonfarm payrolls report have slightly tilted trader sentiment toward no Fed rate hike for the balance of 2026, with market-implied odds at 54.5% against. Inflation remains above the 2% target after years of persistence, while the June dot plot showed dispersion with nine participants favoring a higher year-end 2026 funds rate above the current 3.50-3.75% range. The FOMC's September 15-16 meeting and August CPI release on September 11 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely balanced probabilities, as futures markets price in roughly even odds for near-term policy action amid mixed growth and price signals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
46% संभावना
$7,513,352 वॉल्यूम
$7,513,352 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
हाँ
46% संभावना
$7,513,352 वॉल्यूम
$7,513,352 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent softening in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year and a weak nonfarm payrolls report have slightly tilted trader sentiment toward no Fed rate hike for the balance of 2026, with market-implied odds at 54.5% against. Inflation remains above the 2% target after years of persistence, while the June dot plot showed dispersion with nine participants favoring a higher year-end 2026 funds rate above the current 3.50-3.75% range. The FOMC's September 15-16 meeting and August CPI release on September 11 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely balanced probabilities, as futures markets price in roughly even odds for near-term policy action amid mixed growth and price signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,513,352समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent softening in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year and a weak nonfarm payrolls report have slightly tilted trader sentiment toward no Fed rate hike for the balance of 2026, with market-implied odds at 54.5% against. Inflation remains above the 2% target after years of persistence, while the June dot plot showed dispersion with nine participants favoring a higher year-end 2026 funds rate above the current 3.50-3.75% range. The FOMC's September 15-16 meeting and August CPI release on September 11 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely balanced probabilities, as futures markets price in roughly even odds for near-term policy action amid mixed growth and price signals.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$7,513,352समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent softening in July CPI to 3.4% year-over-year and a weak nonfarm payrolls report have slightly tilted trader sentiment toward no Fed rate hike for the balance of 2026, with market-implied odds at 54.5% against. Inflation remains above the 2% target after years of persistence, while the June dot plot showed dispersion with nine participants favoring a higher year-end 2026 funds rate above the current 3.50-3.75% range. The FOMC's September 15-16 meeting and August CPI release on September 11 represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely balanced probabilities, as futures markets price in roughly even odds for near-term policy action amid mixed growth and price signals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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