Recent inflation data, including the May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for steady policy at the September FOMC meeting. Elevated headline and core readings, combined with modest GDP growth and a labor market showing resilience alongside gradual softening, support the market consensus favoring no change as the dominant outcome. Projections from recent FOMC summaries and external forecasts indicate limited room for easing or tightening before more sustained progress toward the 2% inflation target, with any shifts likely dependent on upcoming employment and price reports. Geopolitical developments and tariff effects continue to introduce upside risks to inflation, aligning with the modest probability assigned to a 25 basis point hike.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 74%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 8.0%
50+ bps decrease 2.1%
$286,143 वॉल्यूम
$286,143 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
8%
No change
74%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 74%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 8.0%
50+ bps decrease 2.1%
$286,143 वॉल्यूम
$286,143 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$49,692 वॉल्यूम
2%
25 bps decrease
$54,306 वॉल्यूम
8%
No change
$80,641 वॉल्यूम
74%
25 bps increase
$56,283 वॉल्यूम
16%
50+ bps increase
$45,221 वॉल्यूम
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation data, including the May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for steady policy at the September FOMC meeting. Elevated headline and core readings, combined with modest GDP growth and a labor market showing resilience alongside gradual softening, support the market consensus favoring no change as the dominant outcome. Projections from recent FOMC summaries and external forecasts indicate limited room for easing or tightening before more sustained progress toward the 2% inflation target, with any shifts likely dependent on upcoming employment and price reports. Geopolitical developments and tariff effects continue to introduce upside risks to inflation, aligning with the modest probability assigned to a 25 basis point hike.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$286,143समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation data, including the May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for steady policy at the September FOMC meeting. Elevated headline and core readings, combined with modest GDP growth and a labor market showing resilience alongside gradual softening, support the market consensus favoring no change as the dominant outcome. Projections from recent FOMC summaries and external forecasts indicate limited room for easing or tightening before more sustained progress toward the 2% inflation target, with any shifts likely dependent on upcoming employment and price reports. Geopolitical developments and tariff effects continue to introduce upside risks to inflation, aligning with the modest probability assigned to a 25 basis point hike.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$286,143समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data, including the May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy price surges tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for steady policy at the September FOMC meeting. Elevated headline and core readings, combined with modest GDP growth and a labor market showing resilience alongside gradual softening, support the market consensus favoring no change as the dominant outcome. Projections from recent FOMC summaries and external forecasts indicate limited room for easing or tightening before more sustained progress toward the 2% inflation target, with any shifts likely dependent on upcoming employment and price reports. Geopolitical developments and tariff effects continue to introduce upside risks to inflation, aligning with the modest probability assigned to a 25 basis point hike.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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