The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation pressures, with May CPI reaching 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 172,000 May job gains and 4.3% unemployment, have tilted trader consensus toward no change or modest tightening at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Recent upward revisions to FOMC projections under the new chair, alongside solid payroll trends and core inflation readings near 2.9%, support the 56% probability for unchanged policy and 38.5% odds of a 25 basis point hike as the leading outcomes. Limited pricing for cuts reflects the elevated bar for easing until clearer disinflation emerges, with upcoming July data releases likely to influence any shifts in these implied probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Persistent inflation pressures, with May CPI reaching 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 172,000 May job gains and 4.3% unemployment, have tilted trader consensus toward no change or modest tightening at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Recent upward revisions to FOMC projections under the new chair, alongside solid payroll trends and core inflation readings near 2.9%, support the 56% probability for unchanged policy and 38.5% odds of a 25 basis point hike as the leading outcomes. Limited pricing for cuts reflects the elevated bar for easing until clearer disinflation emerges, with upcoming July data releases likely to influence any shifts in these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Jul 29 2026
Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.50%–3.75% in July Meeting
No change dips to 39%2%
The FOMC voted 9-3 to keep the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting, reflecting ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty. The decision was closely contested, with some officials dissenting for a hike, but the overall stance remained restrictive.
Jul 29 2026
Federal Reserve holds rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% with three dissenters favoring a hike
25 bps increase jumps to 51%10%
At the July FOMC meeting, the Fed maintained the federal funds rate target range but saw three members dissent, preferring a 25 bps increase. Chair Warsh emphasized the priority of restoring price stability, leaving markets to price in a likely rate hike in September, which drove the market's shift toward the 25 bps increase outcome.
Jul 29 2026
Federal Reserve holds rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% with dissenters favoring hike
At the July 29 FOMC meeting, the Committee voted 9–3 to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%–3.75%. Three members dissented, preferring a 25 bps increase, signaling internal divisions and leaving the door open for a rate hike in September. The statement emphasized ongoing elevated inflation and the Fed's commitment to price stability.
Jul 15 2026
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook signals inflation risks outweigh employment concerns
25 bps increase jumps to 53%8%
In a speech on July 15, Governor Lisa Cook highlighted that inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target and supports maintaining restrictive monetary policy until stronger evidence of sustained disinflation emerges. This hawkish tone contributed to increased market pricing for a 25 bps rate hike.
Jul 14 2026
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh testifies before House Financial Services Committee
25 bps increase jumps to 40%12%
Chairman Warsh testified emphasizing the Fed's commitment to price stability and a data-dependent approach to monetary policy, reinforcing market expectations of a cautious stance on rate changes. His remarks contributed to market anticipation of a possible rate hike later in 2026 amid persistent inflation.
Jul 14 2026
June CPI Inflation Falls to 3.5%, Below Forecast
No change dips to 39%2%
The Consumer Price Index for June 2026 showed a decline in inflation to 3.5%, below expectations, but core shelter inflation remained elevated. This data was closely watched ahead of the July FOMC meeting and influenced market expectations for the Fed's rate decision.
Jul 14 2026
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh testifies before House Financial Services Committee
25 bps increase jumps to 49%13%
Kevin Warsh testified emphasizing the Fed's commitment to price stability and signaling that interest rate hikes may be necessary if inflation does not cool. This reinforced market expectations for a 25 bps increase in the near future, contributing to rising probabilities for a rate hike in September.
Jun 17 2026
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady at 3.50%–3.75% in June Meeting
The FOMC unanimously voted to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%–3.75%, citing solid economic expansion despite persistent inflation. The statement removed easing bias and highlighted elevated inflation partly due to supply shocks, signaling a hawkish pivot under new Chair Kevin Warsh.
Jun 17 2026
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% in June meeting
25 bps increase jumps to 20%7%
On June 17, 2026, the Federal Reserve unanimously voted to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75%, signaling a pause in rate changes but projecting a hawkish outlook with a median year-end rate forecast of 3.8%. This decision reflected persistent inflation and a strong labor market, shifting market expectations toward possible hikes later in the year.
Jun 17 2026
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% in unanimous vote
The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% during its June meeting, citing persistent inflation and a solid pace of economic activity. This decision reflected a cautious stance amid rising inflation and was the first meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh, signaling a hawkish tilt without immediate rate hikes.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation pressures, with May CPI reaching 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 172,000 May job gains and 4.3% unemployment, have tilted trader consensus toward no change or modest tightening at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Recent upward revisions to FOMC projections under the new chair, alongside solid payroll trends and core inflation readings near 2.9%, support the 56% probability for unchanged policy and 38.5% odds of a 25 basis point hike as the leading outcomes. Limited pricing for cuts reflects the elevated bar for easing until clearer disinflation emerges, with upcoming July data releases likely to influence any shifts in these implied probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Persistent inflation pressures, with May CPI reaching 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks tied to Middle East developments, combined with a resilient labor market showing 172,000 May job gains and 4.3% unemployment, have tilted trader consensus toward no change or modest tightening at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Recent upward revisions to FOMC projections under the new chair, alongside solid payroll trends and core inflation readings near 2.9%, support the 56% probability for unchanged policy and 38.5% odds of a 25 basis point hike as the leading outcomes. Limited pricing for cuts reflects the elevated bar for easing until clearer disinflation emerges, with upcoming July data releases likely to influence any shifts in these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
Jul 29 2026
Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.50%–3.75% in July Meeting
No change dips to 39%2%
The FOMC voted 9-3 to keep the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% for the fifth consecutive meeting, reflecting ongoing concerns about inflation and economic uncertainty. The decision was closely contested, with some officials dissenting for a hike, but the overall stance remained restrictive.
Jul 29 2026
Federal Reserve holds rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% with three dissenters favoring a hike
25 bps increase jumps to 51%10%
At the July FOMC meeting, the Fed maintained the federal funds rate target range but saw three members dissent, preferring a 25 bps increase. Chair Warsh emphasized the priority of restoring price stability, leaving markets to price in a likely rate hike in September, which drove the market's shift toward the 25 bps increase outcome.
Jul 29 2026
Federal Reserve holds rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% with dissenters favoring hike
At the July 29 FOMC meeting, the Committee voted 9–3 to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%–3.75%. Three members dissented, preferring a 25 bps increase, signaling internal divisions and leaving the door open for a rate hike in September. The statement emphasized ongoing elevated inflation and the Fed's commitment to price stability.
Jul 15 2026
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook signals inflation risks outweigh employment concerns
25 bps increase jumps to 53%8%
In a speech on July 15, Governor Lisa Cook highlighted that inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target and supports maintaining restrictive monetary policy until stronger evidence of sustained disinflation emerges. This hawkish tone contributed to increased market pricing for a 25 bps rate hike.
Jul 14 2026
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh testifies before House Financial Services Committee
25 bps increase jumps to 40%12%
Chairman Warsh testified emphasizing the Fed's commitment to price stability and a data-dependent approach to monetary policy, reinforcing market expectations of a cautious stance on rate changes. His remarks contributed to market anticipation of a possible rate hike later in 2026 amid persistent inflation.
Jul 14 2026
June CPI Inflation Falls to 3.5%, Below Forecast
No change dips to 39%2%
The Consumer Price Index for June 2026 showed a decline in inflation to 3.5%, below expectations, but core shelter inflation remained elevated. This data was closely watched ahead of the July FOMC meeting and influenced market expectations for the Fed's rate decision.
Jul 14 2026
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh testifies before House Financial Services Committee
25 bps increase jumps to 49%13%
Kevin Warsh testified emphasizing the Fed's commitment to price stability and signaling that interest rate hikes may be necessary if inflation does not cool. This reinforced market expectations for a 25 bps increase in the near future, contributing to rising probabilities for a rate hike in September.
Jun 17 2026
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady at 3.50%–3.75% in June Meeting
The FOMC unanimously voted to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%–3.75%, citing solid economic expansion despite persistent inflation. The statement removed easing bias and highlighted elevated inflation partly due to supply shocks, signaling a hawkish pivot under new Chair Kevin Warsh.
Jun 17 2026
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% in June meeting
25 bps increase jumps to 20%7%
On June 17, 2026, the Federal Reserve unanimously voted to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75%, signaling a pause in rate changes but projecting a hawkish outlook with a median year-end rate forecast of 3.8%. This decision reflected persistent inflation and a strong labor market, shifting market expectations toward possible hikes later in the year.
Jun 17 2026
Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% in unanimous vote
The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% during its June meeting, citing persistent inflation and a solid pace of economic activity. This decision reflected a cautious stance amid rising inflation and was the first meeting chaired by Kevin Warsh, signaling a hawkish tilt without immediate rate hikes.
"सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" Polymarket पर 5 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 25 बेसिस अंक की वृद्धि 56% (56¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद कोई बदलाव नहीं 39% पर है।
आज तक, "सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" ने कुल $6.9 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 13, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।
"सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 5 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
"सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "25 बेसिस अंक की वृद्धि" 56% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "कोई बदलाव नहीं" 39% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।
"सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।
हाँ। सूचित रहने के लिए आपको ट्रेड करने की ज़रूरत नहीं है। यह पेज "सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" के लिए लाइव ट्रैकर के रूप में काम करता है। नए ट्रेड आने पर परिणाम संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं। आप इस पेज को बुकमार्क कर सकते हैं और टिप्पणी अनुभाग में देख सकते हैं कि अन्य ट्रेडर क्या कह रहे हैं।
Polymarket की संभावनाएँ असली ट्रेडरों द्वारा अपने विश्वासों के पीछे असली पैसा लगाकर निर्धारित होती हैं, जो सटीक पूर्वानुमान सामने लाने की प्रवृत्ति रखती है। "सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" पर $6.9 million ट्रेड होने के साथ, ये कीमतें हज़ारों प्रतिभागियों के सामूहिक ज्ञान और विश्वास को एकत्र करती हैं। उदाहरण के लिए, Polymarket का एक महीने का सटीकता स्कोर 94% है। Polymarket की पूर्वानुमान सटीकता पर नवीनतम आँकड़ों के लिए, सटीकता पेज Polymarket पर देखें।
"सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" पर अपना पहला ट्रेड करने के लिए, एक मुफ़्त Polymarket अकाउंट के लिए साइन अप करें और क्रिप्टो, क्रेडिट या डेबिट कार्ड, या बैंक ट्रांसफ़र से फ़ंड करें। एक बार आपका अकाउंट फ़ंडेड हो जाने पर, इस पेज पर वापस आएँ, जिस परिणाम पर आप ट्रेड करना चाहते हैं उसे चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।
Polymarket पर, प्रत्येक परिणाम की कीमत बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। "सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" बाज़ार में "25 बेसिस अंक की वृद्धि" के लिए 56¢ की कीमत का मतलब है कि ट्रेडर सामूहिक रूप से मानते हैं कि "25 बेसिस अंक की वृद्धि" के सही परिणाम होने की लगभग 56% संभावना है। अगर आप 56¢ पर "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम सही है, तो आपको प्रति शेयर $1.00 मिलता है — प्रति शेयर 44¢ का लाभ।
"सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" बाज़ार Sep 15, 2026 को या उसके आसपास हल होने के लिए निर्धारित है। इसका मतलब है कि उस तिथि तक ट्रेडिंग खुली रहेगी और संभावनाएँ बदलती रहेंगी।
"सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" बाज़ार में 8,582 टिप्पणियों का एक सक्रिय समुदाय है जहाँ ट्रेडर अपना विश्लेषण साझा करते हैं, परिणामों पर बहस करते हैं, और ब्रेकिंग विकासों पर चर्चा करते हैं। अन्य प्रतिभागी क्या सोचते हैं पढ़ने के लिए नीचे टिप्पणी अनुभाग तक स्क्रॉल करें।
Polymarket दुनिया का सबसे बड़ा पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है, जहाँ आप वास्तविक दुनिया की घटनाओं के अपने ज्ञान से सूचित रह सकते हैं और लाभ कमा सकते हैं। ट्रेडर राजनीति और चुनावों से लेकर क्रिप्टो, वित्त, खेल, तकनीक, और संस्कृति तक के विषयों पर परिणामों में शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं, जिसमें "सितंबर में फेड का फ़ैसला?" जैसे बाज़ार शामिल हैं।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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