Trader sentiment in Fed rate hike markets reflects low near-term probabilities despite escalating inflation pressures, as March 2026 CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% energy spike, alongside robust nonfarm payroll gains of 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The Federal Open Market Committee held the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18 meeting, but April 8 minutes revealed growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, citing absent progress toward 2%. CME FedWatch implies under 2% odds of an April 25-basis-point increase at the April 28-29 FOMC, with traders pricing steady policy amid balanced risks; key catalysts include April CPI (May 13) and payrolls (May 7).
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$31,312 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
अप्रैल बैठक
1%
जून बैठक
4%
जुलाई बैठक
17%
सितंबर बैठक
16%
अक्टूबर बैठक
22%
$31,312 वॉल्यूम
अप्रैल बैठक
$24,301 वॉल्यूम
1%
जून बैठक
$6,580 वॉल्यूम
4%
जुलाई बैठक
$372 वॉल्यूम
17%
सितंबर बैठक
$3 वॉल्यूम
16%
अक्टूबर बैठक
$55 वॉल्यूम
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in Fed rate hike markets reflects low near-term probabilities despite escalating inflation pressures, as March 2026 CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% energy spike, alongside robust nonfarm payroll gains of 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The Federal Open Market Committee held the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18 meeting, but April 8 minutes revealed growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, citing absent progress toward 2%. CME FedWatch implies under 2% odds of an April 25-basis-point increase at the April 28-29 FOMC, with traders pricing steady policy amid balanced risks; key catalysts include April CPI (May 13) and payrolls (May 7).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,312समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in Fed rate hike markets reflects low near-term probabilities despite escalating inflation pressures, as March 2026 CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% energy spike, alongside robust nonfarm payroll gains of 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The Federal Open Market Committee held the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18 meeting, but April 8 minutes revealed growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, citing absent progress toward 2%. CME FedWatch implies under 2% odds of an April 25-basis-point increase at the April 28-29 FOMC, with traders pricing steady policy amid balanced risks; key catalysts include April CPI (May 13) and payrolls (May 7).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$31,312समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in Fed rate hike markets reflects low near-term probabilities despite escalating inflation pressures, as March 2026 CPI surged 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—driven by a 10.9% energy spike, alongside robust nonfarm payroll gains of 178,000 jobs and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The Federal Open Market Committee held the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% in its March 17-18 meeting, but April 8 minutes revealed growing openness to hikes if inflation persists, citing absent progress toward 2%. CME FedWatch implies under 2% odds of an April 25-basis-point increase at the April 28-29 FOMC, with traders pricing steady policy amid balanced risks; key catalysts include April CPI (May 13) and payrolls (May 7).
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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