Trader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects a tight contest between lower bands at 30.5% implied probability for 1.50%-2.24% and matching odds for 3.75%-4.49%, driven by March 2026 CPI inflation rising to 3.4% year-over-year—the highest in 13 months—fueled by food inflation climbing to 3.87% amid Mideast tensions elevating supply risks. Core inflation remains subdued, supporting bets on sub-3% outcomes amid prior fiscal year disinflation to around 2.1% average, while Reserve Bank of India projections peg FY27 CPI at 4.6% after holding the repo rate steady at 5.25% in its April 8 MPC meeting. Key differentiators include volatile food and energy prices versus stable core dynamics, with April CPI data due May 12 potentially tipping the balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1.50% से 2.24% 45%
<0.75% 34%
2.25% से 2.99% 20%
4.50%+ 14%
$57,500 वॉल्यूम
$57,500 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<0.75%
25%
0.75% से 1.49%
1%
1.50% से 2.24%
31%
2.25% से 2.99%
27%
3.00% से 3.74%
12%
3.75% से 4.49%
31%
4.50%+
17%
1.50% से 2.24% 45%
<0.75% 34%
2.25% से 2.99% 20%
4.50%+ 14%
$57,500 वॉल्यूम
$57,500 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<0.75%
$657 वॉल्यूम
25%
0.75% से 1.49%
$281 वॉल्यूम
1%
1.50% से 2.24%
$360 वॉल्यूम
31%
2.25% से 2.99%
$22,345 वॉल्यूम
27%
3.00% से 3.74%
$421 वॉल्यूम
12%
3.75% से 4.49%
$22,740 वॉल्यूम
31%
4.50%+
$10,695 वॉल्यूम
17%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects a tight contest between lower bands at 30.5% implied probability for 1.50%-2.24% and matching odds for 3.75%-4.49%, driven by March 2026 CPI inflation rising to 3.4% year-over-year—the highest in 13 months—fueled by food inflation climbing to 3.87% amid Mideast tensions elevating supply risks. Core inflation remains subdued, supporting bets on sub-3% outcomes amid prior fiscal year disinflation to around 2.1% average, while Reserve Bank of India projections peg FY27 CPI at 4.6% after holding the repo rate steady at 5.25% in its April 8 MPC meeting. Key differentiators include volatile food and energy prices versus stable core dynamics, with April CPI data due May 12 potentially tipping the balance.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,500समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects a tight contest between lower bands at 30.5% implied probability for 1.50%-2.24% and matching odds for 3.75%-4.49%, driven by March 2026 CPI inflation rising to 3.4% year-over-year—the highest in 13 months—fueled by food inflation climbing to 3.87% amid Mideast tensions elevating supply risks. Core inflation remains subdued, supporting bets on sub-3% outcomes amid prior fiscal year disinflation to around 2.1% average, while Reserve Bank of India projections peg FY27 CPI at 4.6% after holding the repo rate steady at 5.25% in its April 8 MPC meeting. Key differentiators include volatile food and energy prices versus stable core dynamics, with April CPI data due May 12 potentially tipping the balance.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$57,500समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects a tight contest between lower bands at 30.5% implied probability for 1.50%-2.24% and matching odds for 3.75%-4.49%, driven by March 2026 CPI inflation rising to 3.4% year-over-year—the highest in 13 months—fueled by food inflation climbing to 3.87% amid Mideast tensions elevating supply risks. Core inflation remains subdued, supporting bets on sub-3% outcomes amid prior fiscal year disinflation to around 2.1% average, while Reserve Bank of India projections peg FY27 CPI at 4.6% after holding the repo rate steady at 5.25% in its April 8 MPC meeting. Key differentiators include volatile food and energy prices versus stable core dynamics, with April CPI data due May 12 potentially tipping the balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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