Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy and food price pressures, pushing India's headline CPI inflation to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June, the highest levels in over a year and above the RBI's 4% target for two consecutive months. With food inflation at 5.52% and transport costs elevated, while core CPI remains contained near 3.9%, trader consensus assigns an 89% implied probability to the 4.50%+ annual outcome for 2026, aligning with the Reserve Bank of India's 5.0% projection for FY 2026-27. The RBI held its repo rate at 5.25% in August amid supply-side factors and limited pass-through to broader prices, though risks from monsoon variability and input costs could influence the final average.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.50%+ 89%
3.75% से 4.49% 8.1%
<0.75% 1.9%
3.00% से 3.74% <1%
$82,802 वॉल्यूम
$82,802 वॉल्यूम
11 जन, 2027
<0.75%
2%
0.75% से 1.49%
<1%
1.50% से 2.24%
<1%
2.25% से 2.99%
1%
3.00% से 3.74%
1%
3.75% से 4.49%
8%
4.50%+
89%
4.50%+ 89%
3.75% से 4.49% 8.1%
<0.75% 1.9%
3.00% से 3.74% <1%
$82,802 वॉल्यूम
$82,802 वॉल्यूम
11 जन, 2027
<0.75%
$2,299 वॉल्यूम
2%
0.75% से 1.49%
$1,517 वॉल्यूम
<1%
1.50% से 2.24%
$1,576 वॉल्यूम
<1%
2.25% से 2.99%
$25,343 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.00% से 3.74%
$2,407 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.75% से 4.49%
$30,003 वॉल्यूम
8%
4.50%+
$19,658 वॉल्यूम
89%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy and food price pressures, pushing India's headline CPI inflation to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June, the highest levels in over a year and above the RBI's 4% target for two consecutive months. With food inflation at 5.52% and transport costs elevated, while core CPI remains contained near 3.9%, trader consensus assigns an 89% implied probability to the 4.50%+ annual outcome for 2026, aligning with the Reserve Bank of India's 5.0% projection for FY 2026-27. The RBI held its repo rate at 5.25% in August amid supply-side factors and limited pass-through to broader prices, though risks from monsoon variability and input costs could influence the final average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$82,802समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy and food price pressures, pushing India's headline CPI inflation to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June, the highest levels in over a year and above the RBI's 4% target for two consecutive months. With food inflation at 5.52% and transport costs elevated, while core CPI remains contained near 3.9%, trader consensus assigns an 89% implied probability to the 4.50%+ annual outcome for 2026, aligning with the Reserve Bank of India's 5.0% projection for FY 2026-27. The RBI held its repo rate at 5.25% in August amid supply-side factors and limited pass-through to broader prices, though risks from monsoon variability and input costs could influence the final average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$82,802समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy and food price pressures, pushing India's headline CPI inflation to 4.45% in July 2026 from 4.38% in June, the highest levels in over a year and above the RBI's 4% target for two consecutive months. With food inflation at 5.52% and transport costs elevated, while core CPI remains contained near 3.9%, trader consensus assigns an 89% implied probability to the 4.50%+ annual outcome for 2026, aligning with the Reserve Bank of India's 5.0% projection for FY 2026-27. The RBI held its repo rate at 5.25% in August amid supply-side factors and limited pass-through to broader prices, though risks from monsoon variability and input costs could influence the final average.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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