With West Bengal's Legislative Assembly elections set for April 23 and 29 in two phases across 294 seats, trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward AITC securing a majority at 57% implied probability, ahead of BJP at 41%, reflecting recent opinion polls like IANS-MATRIZE projecting TMC 140-160 seats versus BJP's 130-150 in a razor-thin contest hinging on 65-70 battleground constituencies. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's AITC benefits from strong rural outreach and welfare schemes, while BJP gains traction through PM Modi's April 12 Siliguri rally and Amit Shah's aggressive campaigning targeting anti-incumbency on unemployment and governance. Controversy over the Special Intensive Revision deleting nearly nine million voters—prompting protests and legal challenges—has heightened tensions, with central forces deployed for fair polls; minor parties like CPI(M), INC, and CPI trail at negligible odds amid fragmented opposition votes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापश्चिम बंगाल विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
पश्चिम बंगाल विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
एआईटीसी 57.1%
भाजपा 40.6%
सीपीआई <1%
सीपीआई(एम) <1%
$1,883,400 वॉल्यूम
$1,883,400 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
एआईटीसी
57%
भाजपा
41%
सीपीआई
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
<1%
आईएनसी
<1%
बीजीपीएम
<1%
एआईटीसी 57.1%
भाजपा 40.6%
सीपीआई <1%
सीपीआई(एम) <1%
$1,883,400 वॉल्यूम
$1,883,400 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
एआईटीसी
$99,671 वॉल्यूम
57%
भाजपा
$150,810 वॉल्यूम
41%
सीपीआई
$792,255 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
$27,185 वॉल्यूम
<1%
आईएनसी
$21,707 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बीजीपीएम
$791,772 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With West Bengal's Legislative Assembly elections set for April 23 and 29 in two phases across 294 seats, trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward AITC securing a majority at 57% implied probability, ahead of BJP at 41%, reflecting recent opinion polls like IANS-MATRIZE projecting TMC 140-160 seats versus BJP's 130-150 in a razor-thin contest hinging on 65-70 battleground constituencies. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's AITC benefits from strong rural outreach and welfare schemes, while BJP gains traction through PM Modi's April 12 Siliguri rally and Amit Shah's aggressive campaigning targeting anti-incumbency on unemployment and governance. Controversy over the Special Intensive Revision deleting nearly nine million voters—prompting protests and legal challenges—has heightened tensions, with central forces deployed for fair polls; minor parties like CPI(M), INC, and CPI trail at negligible odds amid fragmented opposition votes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,883,400समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).With West Bengal's Legislative Assembly elections set for April 23 and 29 in two phases across 294 seats, trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward AITC securing a majority at 57% implied probability, ahead of BJP at 41%, reflecting recent opinion polls like IANS-MATRIZE projecting TMC 140-160 seats versus BJP's 130-150 in a razor-thin contest hinging on 65-70 battleground constituencies. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's AITC benefits from strong rural outreach and welfare schemes, while BJP gains traction through PM Modi's April 12 Siliguri rally and Amit Shah's aggressive campaigning targeting anti-incumbency on unemployment and governance. Controversy over the Special Intensive Revision deleting nearly nine million voters—prompting protests and legal challenges—has heightened tensions, with central forces deployed for fair polls; minor parties like CPI(M), INC, and CPI trail at negligible odds amid fragmented opposition votes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
वॉल्यूम
$1,883,400समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With West Bengal's Legislative Assembly elections set for April 23 and 29 in two phases across 294 seats, trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward AITC securing a majority at 57% implied probability, ahead of BJP at 41%, reflecting recent opinion polls like IANS-MATRIZE projecting TMC 140-160 seats versus BJP's 130-150 in a razor-thin contest hinging on 65-70 battleground constituencies. Incumbent Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's AITC benefits from strong rural outreach and welfare schemes, while BJP gains traction through PM Modi's April 12 Siliguri rally and Amit Shah's aggressive campaigning targeting anti-incumbency on unemployment and governance. Controversy over the Special Intensive Revision deleting nearly nine million voters—prompting protests and legal challenges—has heightened tensions, with central forces deployed for fair polls; minor parties like CPI(M), INC, and CPI trail at negligible odds amid fragmented opposition votes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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