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चुनाव·मध्य पूर्व

लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता

Market icon
चुनाव·मध्य पूर्व

लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता

तकद्दुम पार्टी 12.3%

लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ) 8%

अमल मूवमेंट (अमल) 6.9%

इंडिपेंडेंस मूवमेंट (आईएम) 4.7%

Polymarket

$481,543 वॉल्यूम

तकद्दुम पार्टी 12.3%

लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ) 8%

अमल मूवमेंट (अमल) 6.9%

इंडिपेंडेंस मूवमेंट (आईएम) 4.7%

Polymarket

$481,543 वॉल्यूम

तकद्दुम पार्टी

$4,606 वॉल्यूम

10%

लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ)

$145,106 वॉल्यूम

8%

अमल मूवमेंट (अमल)

$42,504 वॉल्यूम

7%

इंडिपेंडेंस मूवमेंट (आईएम)

$2,444 वॉल्यूम

5%

इस्लामिक चैरिटेबल प्रोजेक्ट्स एसोसिएशन (ICPA)

$2,885 वॉल्यूम

3%

नेशनल डायलॉग पार्टी (एनडीपी)

$41,073 वॉल्यूम

2%

ReLebanon

$2,096 वॉल्यूम

2%

हिज़्बुल्लाह (हिज़्ब)

$41,888 वॉल्यूम

2%

नेशनल लिबरल पार्टी (एनएलपी)

$2,970 वॉल्यूम

2%

मरादा मूवमेंट (एमएम)

$2,313 वॉल्यूम

2%

पॉपुलर नासेरिस्ट ऑर्गनाइजेशन (PNO)

$2,216 वॉल्यूम

2%

फ्री पैट्रियॉटिक मूवमेंट (एफपीएम)

$72,509 वॉल्यूम

1%

लेबनान में अरब समाजवादी बाथ पार्टी (बाथ)

$3,875 वॉल्यूम

1%

डिग्निटी मूवमेंट (डीएम)

$22,250 वॉल्यूम

1%

माडा पार्टी (माडा)

$22,526 वॉल्यूम

1%

अर्मेनियाई क्रांतिकारी संघ (एआरएफ)

$4,651 वॉल्यूम

1%

काताेब पार्टी (काताेब)

$2,934 वॉल्यूम

1%

वतनी गठबंधन (वतनी)

$3,271 वॉल्यूम

1%

इस्लामी समूह (आईजी)

$2,970 वॉल्यूम

1%

प्रोग्रेसिव सोशलिस्ट पार्टी (पीएसपी)

$47,029 वॉल्यूम

1%

यूनियन पार्टी (यूपी)

$2,613 वॉल्यूम

1%

लाना – सोशल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (लाना)

$3,966 वॉल्यूम

<1%

खत्त अहमर

$2,850 वॉल्यूम

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Lebanon's parliament extended its term by two years in March 2026, postponing parliamentary elections originally slated for May amid ongoing war displacement, Israeli military actions, and reconstruction challenges, fostering trader consensus on a highly fragmented field with no outcome above 8%. Taqaddom Party leads slightly on reformist appeal rooted in the 2019 protests and 2022 independent gains, edging Lebanese Forces, which draws Christian opposition to Hezbollah influence, while Amal Movement holds steady Shia loyalty despite opposition challengers. Key differentiators include sectarian mobilization under Lebanon's confessional system, diaspora voter registration momentum now stalled, and presidential vacuum hindering alliances; consolidation could hinge on coalition negotiations, economic stabilization signals, or snap election reversal before 2028 resolution.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
वॉल्यूम
$481,543
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Lebanon's parliament extended its term by two years in March 2026, postponing parliamentary elections originally slated for May amid ongoing war displacement, Israeli military actions, and reconstruction challenges, fostering trader consensus on a highly fragmented field with no outcome above 8%. Taqaddom Party leads slightly on reformist appeal rooted in the 2019 protests and 2022 independent gains, edging Lebanese Forces, which draws Christian opposition to Hezbollah influence, while Amal Movement holds steady Shia loyalty despite opposition challengers. Key differentiators include sectarian mobilization under Lebanon's confessional system, diaspora voter registration momentum now stalled, and presidential vacuum hindering alliances; consolidation could hinge on coalition negotiations, economic stabilization signals, or snap election reversal before 2028 resolution.

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
वॉल्यूम
$481,543
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" Polymarket पर 23 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, तकद्दुम पार्टी 10% (10¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ) 8% पर है।

आज तक, "लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" ने कुल $481.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Jan 6, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 23 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "तकद्दुम पार्टी" 10% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "लेबनानी फोर्सेज (एलएफ)" 8% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"लेबनान संसदीय चुनाव विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।