Iván Cepeda Castro's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% to lead Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from his sustained polling edge, averaging 37-38% in recent surveys like AtlasIntel's April 9 release for Semana magazine, well ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella (27%) and Paloma Valencia (23%). The Historic Pact coalition's strong showing in March 8 legislative elections—securing the most seats without a majority—consolidated left-wing support behind Cepeda following his primary win, while right-wing fragmentation persists. Fresh endorsements, including Partido Libres' adhesion on April 15, bolster momentum amid campaign rallies. Despite this, a late opposition unification, major scandal, or depressed leftist turnout could challenge his first-round primacy, potentially forcing a June 21 runoff where polls show him trailing both rivals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोलंबिया राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर के विजेता?
कोलंबिया राष्ट्रपति चुनाव के पहले दौर के विजेता?
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो 92%
एबेलार्डो डे ला एस्प्रियेला 3.7%
पालोमा वालेंसिया 3.1%
जुआन कार्लोस पिन्ज़ोन <1%
$2,515,292 वॉल्यूम
$2,515,292 वॉल्यूम
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो
92%
एबेलार्डो डे ला एस्प्रियेला
4%
पालोमा वालेंसिया
3%
जुआन कार्लोस पिन्ज़ोन
<1%
विकी डाविला
<1%
लुइस गिल्बर्टो मुरिलो
<1%
क्लाउडिया लोपेज़
<1%
डेविड लूना सांचेज़
<1%
जुआन डैनियल ओवीएदो
<1%
गुस्तावो बोलिवर
<1%
सर्जियो फाजार्डो
<1%
जुआन मैनुअल गालान
<1%
जर्मन वर्गास ल्लेरास
<1%
रॉय बैरेरास
<1%
डैनियल क्विंटेरो
<1%
मौरिसियो कार्डेनास
<1%
एनरिक पेञालोसा
<1%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो 92%
एबेलार्डो डे ला एस्प्रियेला 3.7%
पालोमा वालेंसिया 3.1%
जुआन कार्लोस पिन्ज़ोन <1%
$2,515,292 वॉल्यूम
$2,515,292 वॉल्यूम
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो
92%
एबेलार्डो डे ला एस्प्रियेला
4%
पालोमा वालेंसिया
3%
जुआन कार्लोस पिन्ज़ोन
<1%
विकी डाविला
<1%
लुइस गिल्बर्टो मुरिलो
<1%
क्लाउडिया लोपेज़
<1%
डेविड लूना सांचेज़
<1%
जुआन डैनियल ओवीएदो
<1%
गुस्तावो बोलिवर
<1%
सर्जियो फाजार्डो
<1%
जुआन मैनुअल गालान
<1%
जर्मन वर्गास ल्लेरास
<1%
रॉय बैरेरास
<1%
डैनियल क्विंटेरो
<1%
मौरिसियो कार्डेनास
<1%
एनरिक पेञालोसा
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iván Cepeda Castro's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% to lead Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from his sustained polling edge, averaging 37-38% in recent surveys like AtlasIntel's April 9 release for Semana magazine, well ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella (27%) and Paloma Valencia (23%). The Historic Pact coalition's strong showing in March 8 legislative elections—securing the most seats without a majority—consolidated left-wing support behind Cepeda following his primary win, while right-wing fragmentation persists. Fresh endorsements, including Partido Libres' adhesion on April 15, bolster momentum amid campaign rallies. Despite this, a late opposition unification, major scandal, or depressed leftist turnout could challenge his first-round primacy, potentially forcing a June 21 runoff where polls show him trailing both rivals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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