With over 91% of ballots counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17%, followed closely by Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12.1% and Rafael López Aliaga at 11.9%, positioning the latter two in a nail-biter for second place that determines third. Trader consensus favors López Aliaga for third at 60% implied probability, reflecting his early strength in urban counts and pre-election polls where he led at 17-18%, while Sánchez's rural vote surge—from under 2% in late March Ipsos and Datum surveys—narrowed the gap to 0.2%. Remaining rural and abroad ballots, plus López Aliaga's fraud allegations and protests, keep the outcome uncertain ahead of the June 7 runoff between the top two. Jorge Nieto trails at 11.1%, but faces steeper odds to overtake.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: तीसरा स्थान
पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: तीसरा स्थान
राफेल लोपेज़ अलीगा 59.9%
रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो 39.0%
जॉर्ज निएतो <1%
रिकार्डो बेलमोंट <1%
$563,854 वॉल्यूम
$563,854 वॉल्यूम
राफेल लोपेज़ अलीगा
60%
रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो
39%
जॉर्ज निएतो
<1%
रिकार्डो बेलमोंट
<1%
कैको फुजीमोरी
<1%
जोस लूना
<1%
फिओरेला मोलिनेली
<1%
योन्ही लेस्कानो
<1%
वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो
<1%
फर्नांडो ओलिवेरा
<1%
कार्लोस आल्वारेज़
<1%
अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ
<1%
जॉर्ज फोर्सिथ
<1%
एनरिक वल्देरामा
<1%
मेसियास गुवारा
<1%
सीज़र अकूना
<1%
रोबर्टो चियाब्रा
<1%
कार्लोस एस्पा
<1%
मैरिसोल पेरेज़ टेलो
<1%
मारियो विस्कारा
<1%
व्लादिमीर सेर्रोन
<1%
जोस विलियम्स
<1%
राफेल बेलाउंदे ल्योसा
<1%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलीगा 59.9%
रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो 39.0%
जॉर्ज निएतो <1%
रिकार्डो बेलमोंट <1%
$563,854 वॉल्यूम
$563,854 वॉल्यूम
राफेल लोपेज़ अलीगा
60%
रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो
39%
जॉर्ज निएतो
<1%
रिकार्डो बेलमोंट
<1%
कैको फुजीमोरी
<1%
जोस लूना
<1%
फिओरेला मोलिनेली
<1%
योन्ही लेस्कानो
<1%
वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो
<1%
फर्नांडो ओलिवेरा
<1%
कार्लोस आल्वारेज़
<1%
अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ
<1%
जॉर्ज फोर्सिथ
<1%
एनरिक वल्देरामा
<1%
मेसियास गुवारा
<1%
सीज़र अकूना
<1%
रोबर्टो चियाब्रा
<1%
कार्लोस एस्पा
<1%
मैरिसोल पेरेज़ टेलो
<1%
मारियो विस्कारा
<1%
व्लादिमीर सेर्रोन
<1%
जोस विलियम्स
<1%
राफेल बेलाउंदे ल्योसा
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 91% of ballots counted in Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17%, followed closely by Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12.1% and Rafael López Aliaga at 11.9%, positioning the latter two in a nail-biter for second place that determines third. Trader consensus favors López Aliaga for third at 60% implied probability, reflecting his early strength in urban counts and pre-election polls where he led at 17-18%, while Sánchez's rural vote surge—from under 2% in late March Ipsos and Datum surveys—narrowed the gap to 0.2%. Remaining rural and abroad ballots, plus López Aliaga's fraud allegations and protests, keep the outcome uncertain ahead of the June 7 runoff between the top two. Jorge Nieto trails at 11.1%, but faces steeper odds to overtake.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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