**Recent polls from Datafolha, CNT/MDA, Genial/Quaest, and Ideia in early April 2026 show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva atop first-round scenarios at 37-40%, trailed closely by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 30-38%, with other candidates like Ronaldo Caiado below 7% and 10-22% undecided or blank votes.** No survey indicates any contender nearing the absolute majority required for outright victory on October 4, reflecting a fragmented field amid tightening Lula-Bolsonaro competition. Brazil's two-round system, where first-round wins are historically rare, drives trader consensus to an 88% implied probability of a runoff, as polls consistently signal no path to 50%+1 without consolidation unlikely before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$57,676 वॉल्यूम
$57,676 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
हाँ
$57,676 वॉल्यूम
$57,676 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Recent polls from Datafolha, CNT/MDA, Genial/Quaest, and Ideia in early April 2026 show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva atop first-round scenarios at 37-40%, trailed closely by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 30-38%, with other candidates like Ronaldo Caiado below 7% and 10-22% undecided or blank votes.** No survey indicates any contender nearing the absolute majority required for outright victory on October 4, reflecting a fragmented field amid tightening Lula-Bolsonaro competition. Brazil's two-round system, where first-round wins are historically rare, drives trader consensus to an 88% implied probability of a runoff, as polls consistently signal no path to 50%+1 without consolidation unlikely before election day.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$57,676समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Recent polls from Datafolha, CNT/MDA, Genial/Quaest, and Ideia in early April 2026 show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva atop first-round scenarios at 37-40%, trailed closely by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 30-38%, with other candidates like Ronaldo Caiado below 7% and 10-22% undecided or blank votes.** No survey indicates any contender nearing the absolute majority required for outright victory on October 4, reflecting a fragmented field amid tightening Lula-Bolsonaro competition. Brazil's two-round system, where first-round wins are historically rare, drives trader consensus to an 88% implied probability of a runoff, as polls consistently signal no path to 50%+1 without consolidation unlikely before election day.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
वॉल्यूम
$57,676समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent polls from Datafolha, CNT/MDA, Genial/Quaest, and Ideia in early April 2026 show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva atop first-round scenarios at 37-40%, trailed closely by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 30-38%, with other candidates like Ronaldo Caiado below 7% and 10-22% undecided or blank votes.** No survey indicates any contender nearing the absolute majority required for outright victory on October 4, reflecting a fragmented field amid tightening Lula-Bolsonaro competition. Brazil's two-round system, where first-round wins are historically rare, drives trader consensus to an 88% implied probability of a runoff, as polls consistently signal no path to 50%+1 without consolidation unlikely before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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