Recent first-round polls from Datafolha, Futura, and Ideia in early April show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading at 39-40% against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's 35-37%, with no other candidate exceeding 7%, solidifying Flávio's position as the leading challenger and driving his 62% trader consensus for second place. This reflects right-wing consolidation behind Jair Bolsonaro's son amid the ex-president's ineligibility, narrowing Lula's margin from prior surveys. Lula's 21% for second accounts for the tightening race and Flávio's momentum in runoff simulations. Outsiders like Renan Santos at 7.1% gain minor traction via activism, but fragmentation limits threats. The October 4 first round hinges on undecided voters and regional turnout in battleground states.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 22%
रेनेन सैंटोस 7.0%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 5.0%
$2,887,164 वॉल्यूम
$2,887,164 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
22%
रेनेन सैंटोस
7%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
5%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
3%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
2%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो 62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 22%
रेनेन सैंटोस 7.0%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 5.0%
$2,887,164 वॉल्यूम
$2,887,164 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोलसोनारो
62%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
22%
रेनेन सैंटोस
7%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
5%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
3%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
2%
रोम्यू ज़ेमा
1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
1%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
<1%
तर्शीज़ियो दे फ़्रेयटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent first-round polls from Datafolha, Futura, and Ideia in early April show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading at 39-40% against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's 35-37%, with no other candidate exceeding 7%, solidifying Flávio's position as the leading challenger and driving his 62% trader consensus for second place. This reflects right-wing consolidation behind Jair Bolsonaro's son amid the ex-president's ineligibility, narrowing Lula's margin from prior surveys. Lula's 21% for second accounts for the tightening race and Flávio's momentum in runoff simulations. Outsiders like Renan Santos at 7.1% gain minor traction via activism, but fragmentation limits threats. The October 4 first round hinges on undecided voters and regional turnout in battleground states.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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