Recent August IPCA data showed Brazil’s 12-month inflation cooling to 4.22%, below expectations and deeper inside the 1.5-4.5% target band, yet Focus survey medians for end-2026 inflation remain anchored at 5.00% after repeated upward revisions earlier in the year. This keeps the 4.50-4.99% and 5.00-5.49% buckets closely matched on Polymarket, reflecting trader uncertainty over whether temporary relief from food, electricity, and fuel prices will persist or be offset by resilient domestic demand, fiscal stimulus, and sticky services inflation. The central bank’s ongoing Selic easing cycle, with rates near 14%, and upcoming Copom decisions plus October data releases remain key swing factors that could shift the balance between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5.00-5.49% 44.8%
4.50-4.99% 39.8%
5.50-5.99% 5.5%
6.00-6.49% 2.7%
$108,131 वॉल्यूम
$108,131 वॉल्यूम
11 जन, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
<1%
3.50-3.99%
1%
4.00-4.49%
2%
4.50-4.99%
40%
5.00-5.49%
45%
5.50-5.99%
6%
6.00-6.49%
3%
6.50-6.99%
<1%
7.00%+
<1%
5.00-5.49% 44.8%
4.50-4.99% 39.8%
5.50-5.99% 5.5%
6.00-6.49% 2.7%
$108,131 वॉल्यूम
$108,131 वॉल्यूम
11 जन, 2027
<3.00%
$6,485 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$6,377 वॉल्यूम
<1%
3.50-3.99%
$13,840 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.00-4.49%
$15,006 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.50-4.99%
$18,322 वॉल्यूम
40%
5.00-5.49%
$16,734 वॉल्यूम
45%
5.50-5.99%
$11,644 वॉल्यूम
6%
6.00-6.49%
$7,549 वॉल्यूम
3%
6.50-6.99%
$7,041 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7.00%+
$5,134 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent August IPCA data showed Brazil’s 12-month inflation cooling to 4.22%, below expectations and deeper inside the 1.5-4.5% target band, yet Focus survey medians for end-2026 inflation remain anchored at 5.00% after repeated upward revisions earlier in the year. This keeps the 4.50-4.99% and 5.00-5.49% buckets closely matched on Polymarket, reflecting trader uncertainty over whether temporary relief from food, electricity, and fuel prices will persist or be offset by resilient domestic demand, fiscal stimulus, and sticky services inflation. The central bank’s ongoing Selic easing cycle, with rates near 14%, and upcoming Copom decisions plus October data releases remain key swing factors that could shift the balance between the two leading outcomes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$108,131समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlRecent August IPCA data showed Brazil’s 12-month inflation cooling to 4.22%, below expectations and deeper inside the 1.5-4.5% target band, yet Focus survey medians for end-2026 inflation remain anchored at 5.00% after repeated upward revisions earlier in the year. This keeps the 4.50-4.99% and 5.00-5.49% buckets closely matched on Polymarket, reflecting trader uncertainty over whether temporary relief from food, electricity, and fuel prices will persist or be offset by resilient domestic demand, fiscal stimulus, and sticky services inflation. The central bank’s ongoing Selic easing cycle, with rates near 14%, and upcoming Copom decisions plus October data releases remain key swing factors that could shift the balance between the two leading outcomes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$108,131समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August IPCA data showed Brazil’s 12-month inflation cooling to 4.22%, below expectations and deeper inside the 1.5-4.5% target band, yet Focus survey medians for end-2026 inflation remain anchored at 5.00% after repeated upward revisions earlier in the year. This keeps the 4.50-4.99% and 5.00-5.49% buckets closely matched on Polymarket, reflecting trader uncertainty over whether temporary relief from food, electricity, and fuel prices will persist or be offset by resilient domestic demand, fiscal stimulus, and sticky services inflation. The central bank’s ongoing Selic easing cycle, with rates near 14%, and upcoming Copom decisions plus October data releases remain key swing factors that could shift the balance between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न