Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation in the 5.00-5.49% range at 42.6% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 4.50-4.99% at 34.2%, reflecting heightened uncertainty after March's hotter-than-expected 4.14% year-over-year print—driven by fuel price surges from the Iran-related oil shock—and the latest Boletim Focus survey lifting end-2026 forecasts to 4.71% from 4.36%, breaching the 4.50% target ceiling. This tight contest hinges on energy cost persistence, wage dynamics, and the real's strength amid Copom's recent Selic cut to 14.75%; the April 28-29 policy meeting could sway odds if signaling fewer cuts. Upside risks from global commodities keep higher bins viable despite the 3.00% ±1.5% target.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5.00-5.49% 40.9%
4.50-4.99% 34.1%
4.00-4.49% 8.6%
5.50-5.99% 6.4%
$49,510 वॉल्यूम
$49,510 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<3.00%
4%
3.00-3.49%
1%
3.50-3.99%
6%
4.00-4.49%
9%
4.50-4.99%
34%
5.00-5.49%
41%
5.50-5.99%
15%
6.00-6.49%
5%
6.50-6.99%
4%
7.00%+
10%
5.00-5.49% 40.9%
4.50-4.99% 34.1%
4.00-4.49% 8.6%
5.50-5.99% 6.4%
$49,510 वॉल्यूम
$49,510 वॉल्यूम
12 जन, 2027
<3.00%
$3,557 वॉल्यूम
4%
3.00-3.49%
$4,150 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.50-3.99%
$7,346 वॉल्यूम
6%
4.00-4.49%
$5,824 वॉल्यूम
9%
4.50-4.99%
$6,110 वॉल्यूम
34%
5.00-5.49%
$5,475 वॉल्यूम
41%
5.50-5.99%
$4,631 वॉल्यूम
15%
6.00-6.49%
$4,440 वॉल्यूम
5%
6.50-6.99%
$4,735 वॉल्यूम
4%
7.00%+
$3,243 वॉल्यूम
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlTrader consensus on Polymarket prices Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation in the 5.00-5.49% range at 42.6% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 4.50-4.99% at 34.2%, reflecting heightened uncertainty after March's hotter-than-expected 4.14% year-over-year print—driven by fuel price surges from the Iran-related oil shock—and the latest Boletim Focus survey lifting end-2026 forecasts to 4.71% from 4.36%, breaching the 4.50% target ceiling. This tight contest hinges on energy cost persistence, wage dynamics, and the real's strength amid Copom's recent Selic cut to 14.75%; the April 28-29 policy meeting could sway odds if signaling fewer cuts. Upside risks from global commodities keep higher bins viable despite the 3.00% ±1.5% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$49,510समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlTrader consensus on Polymarket prices Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation in the 5.00-5.49% range at 42.6% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 4.50-4.99% at 34.2%, reflecting heightened uncertainty after March's hotter-than-expected 4.14% year-over-year print—driven by fuel price surges from the Iran-related oil shock—and the latest Boletim Focus survey lifting end-2026 forecasts to 4.71% from 4.36%, breaching the 4.50% target ceiling. This tight contest hinges on energy cost persistence, wage dynamics, and the real's strength amid Copom's recent Selic cut to 14.75%; the April 28-29 policy meeting could sway odds if signaling fewer cuts. Upside risks from global commodities keep higher bins viable despite the 3.00% ±1.5% target.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
वॉल्यूम
$49,510समाप्ति तिथि
12 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation in the 5.00-5.49% range at 42.6% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 4.50-4.99% at 34.2%, reflecting heightened uncertainty after March's hotter-than-expected 4.14% year-over-year print—driven by fuel price surges from the Iran-related oil shock—and the latest Boletim Focus survey lifting end-2026 forecasts to 4.71% from 4.36%, breaching the 4.50% target ceiling. This tight contest hinges on energy cost persistence, wage dynamics, and the real's strength amid Copom's recent Selic cut to 14.75%; the April 28-29 policy meeting could sway odds if signaling fewer cuts. Upside risks from global commodities keep higher bins viable despite the 3.00% ±1.5% target.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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