Senator Flávio Bolsonaro holds a razor-thin lead over President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Polymarket odds for Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round election, mirroring recent polls showing a statistical tie in simulated runoffs. A Genial/Quaest survey released April 15 placed Flávio ahead numerically at 42%, while CNT/MDA and Datafolha polls over the past week depict the pair deadlocked within margins of error, reflecting Flávio's surge since entering the race in December 2025 with his imprisoned father Jair's endorsement. Trader sentiment underscores anti-incumbent momentum amid economic pressures and Lula's age concerns at 79, keeping the contest tight; separation could arise from party conventions by June, economic data releases, or scandals before candidate registrations close in August. Third-place contenders like Renan Santos trail far behind, signaling a likely two-way race headed to a runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 41.0%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 40%
रेनेट सैंटोस 6.5%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 4.3%
$51,292,053 वॉल्यूम
$51,292,053 वॉल्यूम
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
41%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
40%
रेनेट सैंटोस
6%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
3%
रोनाल्डो कैiado
2%
रोमू ज़ेमा
2%
जायर बोल्सोनारो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
तर्सीसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
रतीन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एडुआर्डो लीटे
<1%
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 41.0%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा 40%
रेनेट सैंटोस 6.5%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 4.3%
$51,292,053 वॉल्यूम
$51,292,053 वॉल्यूम
फ़्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
41%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
40%
रेनेट सैंटोस
6%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
3%
रोनाल्डो कैiado
2%
रोमू ज़ेमा
2%
जायर बोल्सोनारो
1%
जेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
तर्सीसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
रतीन्हो जूनियर
<1%
एडुआर्डो लीटे
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Senator Flávio Bolsonaro holds a razor-thin lead over President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Polymarket odds for Brazil's October 4, 2026, presidential first-round election, mirroring recent polls showing a statistical tie in simulated runoffs. A Genial/Quaest survey released April 15 placed Flávio ahead numerically at 42%, while CNT/MDA and Datafolha polls over the past week depict the pair deadlocked within margins of error, reflecting Flávio's surge since entering the race in December 2025 with his imprisoned father Jair's endorsement. Trader sentiment underscores anti-incumbent momentum amid economic pressures and Lula's age concerns at 79, keeping the contest tight; separation could arise from party conventions by June, economic data releases, or scandals before candidate registrations close in August. Third-place contenders like Renan Santos trail far behind, signaling a likely two-way race headed to a runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न