Recent polls, including Quaest (April 9-13) and Datafolha (April 7-9), show President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round scenarios at 37-40% and 30-37% respectively, leaving third place tightly contested among fragmented right-wing challengers with 10-19% undecideds. Trader consensus favors Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado (PSD pre-candidate since March 30) slightly over Mission Party leader Renan Santos, reflecting Caiado's consistent 4-6.5% polling edge and regional strength in Centro-Oeste, versus Renan's anti-establishment momentum despite 2% showings. High voter fluidity—over 70% open to changing votes per Meio/Ideia—keeps odds neck-and-neck. Party conventions by August, potential endorsements from governors like Zema or Ratinho Júnior, or debate performances could create separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारोनाल्डो काइआदो 37%
रेयान सैंटोस 34%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 8%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 3.7%
$195,121 वॉल्यूम
$195,121 वॉल्यूम
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
37%
रेयान सैंटोस
34%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
8%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
3%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
3%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
2%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
1%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 37%
रेयान सैंटोस 34%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 8%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद 3.7%
$195,121 वॉल्यूम
$195,121 वॉल्यूम
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
37%
रेयान सैंटोस
34%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
8%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
4%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
3%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
3%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
2%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
1%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including Quaest (April 9-13) and Datafolha (April 7-9), show President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round scenarios at 37-40% and 30-37% respectively, leaving third place tightly contested among fragmented right-wing challengers with 10-19% undecideds. Trader consensus favors Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado (PSD pre-candidate since March 30) slightly over Mission Party leader Renan Santos, reflecting Caiado's consistent 4-6.5% polling edge and regional strength in Centro-Oeste, versus Renan's anti-establishment momentum despite 2% showings. High voter fluidity—over 70% open to changing votes per Meio/Ideia—keeps odds neck-and-neck. Party conventions by August, potential endorsements from governors like Zema or Ratinho Júnior, or debate performances could create separation ahead of the October 4 vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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