Renan Santos leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his formal Mission Party candidacy launch in July and measurable gains among younger voters through social media reach that outpaces several governors. Polls from late July show Lula da Silva near 40 percent and Flávio Bolsonaro near 32 percent, leaving a fragmented field where Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos each register low-single-digit support. Traders appear to price Santos’s youth-driven momentum and independent positioning against Bolsonarism as giving him the edge over Caiado and other center-right or liberal figures whose votes remain split. No new nationwide surveys have emerged in the past week to alter this narrow consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारेयान सैंटोस 64%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 24%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 4.9%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 4.6%
$489,405 वॉल्यूम
$489,405 वॉल्यूम
रेयान सैंटोस
64%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
24%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
5%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
5%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
2%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
1%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
1%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
<1%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टीना
<1%
हेल्डर बारबाल्हो
<1%
रेयान सैंटोस 64%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 24%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 4.9%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 4.6%
$489,405 वॉल्यूम
$489,405 वॉल्यूम
रेयान सैंटोस
64%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
24%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
5%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
5%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
2%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
1%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
1%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
<1%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टीना
<1%
हेल्डर बारबाल्हो
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting his formal Mission Party candidacy launch in July and measurable gains among younger voters through social media reach that outpaces several governors. Polls from late July show Lula da Silva near 40 percent and Flávio Bolsonaro near 32 percent, leaving a fragmented field where Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos each register low-single-digit support. Traders appear to price Santos’s youth-driven momentum and independent positioning against Bolsonarism as giving him the edge over Caiado and other center-right or liberal figures whose votes remain split. No new nationwide surveys have emerged in the past week to alter this narrow consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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