Trader consensus assigns Renan Santos the strongest position for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round, reflecting assessments of candidate field strength, regional support bases, and early positioning ahead of party conventions. Ronaldo Caiado holds the next-highest implied probability, consistent with his established profile as a state governor and potential center-right contender. Lower odds for Flávio Bolsonaro, Romeu Zema, and Ratinho Júnior align with fragmented opposition dynamics and competition for similar voter blocs, while minimal probabilities for Lula, Haddad, and Jair Bolsonaro indicate limited expectations they will finish exactly third under current trajectories. Recent developments in coalition negotiations and polling trends continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the October vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारेयान सैंटोस 62%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 22%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 5.0%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 4.6%
$485,770 वॉल्यूम
$485,770 वॉल्यूम
रेयान सैंटोस
62%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
22%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
5%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
5%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
2%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
1%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
1%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
<1%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टीना
<1%
हेल्डर बारबाल्हो
<1%
रेयान सैंटोस 62%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो 22%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो 5.0%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा 4.6%
$485,770 वॉल्यूम
$485,770 वॉल्यूम
रेयान सैंटोस
62%
रोनाल्डो काइआदो
22%
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
5%
रोम्यु ज़ेमा
5%
रातिन्हो जूनियर
2%
लुइज़ इनासिओ लूला दा सिल्वा
1%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
1%
टार्सिसियो डी फ्रीटास
<1%
जाइर बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एडुआर्डो बोल्सोनारो
<1%
एल्डो रेबेलो
<1%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
<1%
कैमिलो सैंटाना
<1%
गेराल्डो अल्कमिन
<1%
एडुआर्डो लेइटे
<1%
टेरेज़ा क्रिस्टीना
<1%
हेल्डर बारबाल्हो
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns Renan Santos the strongest position for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential first round, reflecting assessments of candidate field strength, regional support bases, and early positioning ahead of party conventions. Ronaldo Caiado holds the next-highest implied probability, consistent with his established profile as a state governor and potential center-right contender. Lower odds for Flávio Bolsonaro, Romeu Zema, and Ratinho Júnior align with fragmented opposition dynamics and competition for similar voter blocs, while minimal probabilities for Lula, Haddad, and Jair Bolsonaro indicate limited expectations they will finish exactly third under current trajectories. Recent developments in coalition negotiations and polling trends continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the October vote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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