**Trader consensus favors "No" at 85.5% implied probability for any Brazil STF justice removed by impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural barriers and institutional resistance.** The Senate's rejection yesterday of the CPI do Crime Organizado final report—which recommended impeachment proceedings against three STF justices over alleged Banco Master ties—eliminated a key recent push, following a last-minute committee member swap. No STF justice has ever been impeached since 1988, with processes requiring Senate President approval to docket complaints, followed by a two-thirds floor vote after any PGR referral, as clarified in Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators. Despite multiple petitions targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes and public polls showing 72% view STF power as excessive, congressional centrists prioritize stability ahead of October 2026 elections, underscoring low near-term risk despite ongoing political tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$59,200 वॉल्यूम
$59,200 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
$59,200 वॉल्यूम
$59,200 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favors "No" at 85.5% implied probability for any Brazil STF justice removed by impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural barriers and institutional resistance.** The Senate's rejection yesterday of the CPI do Crime Organizado final report—which recommended impeachment proceedings against three STF justices over alleged Banco Master ties—eliminated a key recent push, following a last-minute committee member swap. No STF justice has ever been impeached since 1988, with processes requiring Senate President approval to docket complaints, followed by a two-thirds floor vote after any PGR referral, as clarified in Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators. Despite multiple petitions targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes and public polls showing 72% view STF power as excessive, congressional centrists prioritize stability ahead of October 2026 elections, underscoring low near-term risk despite ongoing political tensions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$59,200समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favors "No" at 85.5% implied probability for any Brazil STF justice removed by impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural barriers and institutional resistance.** The Senate's rejection yesterday of the CPI do Crime Organizado final report—which recommended impeachment proceedings against three STF justices over alleged Banco Master ties—eliminated a key recent push, following a last-minute committee member swap. No STF justice has ever been impeached since 1988, with processes requiring Senate President approval to docket complaints, followed by a two-thirds floor vote after any PGR referral, as clarified in Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators. Despite multiple petitions targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes and public polls showing 72% view STF power as excessive, congressional centrists prioritize stability ahead of October 2026 elections, underscoring low near-term risk despite ongoing political tensions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$59,200समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus favors "No" at 85.5% implied probability for any Brazil STF justice removed by impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural barriers and institutional resistance.** The Senate's rejection yesterday of the CPI do Crime Organizado final report—which recommended impeachment proceedings against three STF justices over alleged Banco Master ties—eliminated a key recent push, following a last-minute committee member swap. No STF justice has ever been impeached since 1988, with processes requiring Senate President approval to docket complaints, followed by a two-thirds floor vote after any PGR referral, as clarified in Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators. Despite multiple petitions targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes and public polls showing 72% view STF power as excessive, congressional centrists prioritize stability ahead of October 2026 elections, underscoring low near-term risk despite ongoing political tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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