**Traders assign a 78% probability that Nicolás Maduro will not be convicted on all counts in his pending U.S. federal case.** The charges—narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons counts—stem from a long-standing Southern District of New York indictment that was expanded after U.S. forces captured Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026. Both have pleaded not guilty. The case remains in pre-trial stages. A June 1, 2027 trial date has been set, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds due for argument on November 17, 2026. Additional procedural challenges to the indictment and capture are expected. These hurdles, combined with the extended timeline and the unprecedented prosecution of a former foreign head of state, create substantial uncertainty about whether the case will reach a full verdict on every count. Recent filings, including Flores’s September 2026 request for home detention on medical grounds, underscore ongoing litigation over detention and jurisdiction rather than imminent resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामादुरो सभी मामलों में दोषी है?
मादुरो सभी मामलों में दोषी है?
हाँ
22% संभावना
$133,116 वॉल्यूम
$133,116 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
हाँ
22% संभावना
$133,116 वॉल्यूम
$133,116 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign a 78% probability that Nicolás Maduro will not be convicted on all counts in his pending U.S. federal case.** The charges—narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons counts—stem from a long-standing Southern District of New York indictment that was expanded after U.S. forces captured Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026. Both have pleaded not guilty.
The case remains in pre-trial stages. A June 1, 2027 trial date has been set, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds due for argument on November 17, 2026. Additional procedural challenges to the indictment and capture are expected. These hurdles, combined with the extended timeline and the unprecedented prosecution of a former foreign head of state, create substantial uncertainty about whether the case will reach a full verdict on every count. Recent filings, including Flores’s September 2026 request for home detention on medical grounds, underscore ongoing litigation over detention and jurisdiction rather than imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$133,116समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign a 78% probability that Nicolás Maduro will not be convicted on all counts in his pending U.S. federal case.** The charges—narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons counts—stem from a long-standing Southern District of New York indictment that was expanded after U.S. forces captured Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026. Both have pleaded not guilty.
The case remains in pre-trial stages. A June 1, 2027 trial date has been set, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds due for argument on November 17, 2026. Additional procedural challenges to the indictment and capture are expected. These hurdles, combined with the extended timeline and the unprecedented prosecution of a former foreign head of state, create substantial uncertainty about whether the case will reach a full verdict on every count. Recent filings, including Flores’s September 2026 request for home detention on medical grounds, underscore ongoing litigation over detention and jurisdiction rather than imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$133,116समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 78% probability that Nicolás Maduro will not be convicted on all counts in his pending U.S. federal case.** The charges—narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons counts—stem from a long-standing Southern District of New York indictment that was expanded after U.S. forces captured Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores in Caracas on January 3, 2026. Both have pleaded not guilty. The case remains in pre-trial stages. A June 1, 2027 trial date has been set, with defense motions to dismiss on sovereign immunity grounds due for argument on November 17, 2026. Additional procedural challenges to the indictment and capture are expected. These hurdles, combined with the extended timeline and the unprecedented prosecution of a former foreign head of state, create substantial uncertainty about whether the case will reach a full verdict on every count. Recent filings, including Flores’s September 2026 request for home detention on medical grounds, underscore ongoing litigation over detention and jurisdiction rather than imminent resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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