Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody in New York facing narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges from a long-standing Southern District indictment, with his wife Cilia Flores also implicated. A March 26 court hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject dismissal motions amid disputes over Venezuelan funding for legal fees, keeping the case alive but pre-trial phase unresolved, fueling trader uncertainty between lengthy incarceration and potential no-prison outcomes like acquittal, plea deals, or deportation. DOJ probes into additional jurisdictions add pressure, while immunity claims and procedural delays maintain the tight consensus; upcoming trial scheduling or evidentiary rulings could decisively shift probabilities toward conviction and sentencing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया60+ 35%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 34%
40–60 15%
<20 7.0%
$489,437 वॉल्यूम
$489,437 वॉल्यूम
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
34%
<20
7%
20–40
5%
40–60
15%
60+
35%
60+ 35%
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं 34%
40–60 15%
<20 7.0%
$489,437 वॉल्यूम
$489,437 वॉल्यूम
कोई जेल की सजा नहीं
34%
<20
7%
20–40
5%
40–60
15%
60+
35%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody in New York facing narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges from a long-standing Southern District indictment, with his wife Cilia Flores also implicated. A March 26 court hearing saw Judge Alvin Hellerstein reject dismissal motions amid disputes over Venezuelan funding for legal fees, keeping the case alive but pre-trial phase unresolved, fueling trader uncertainty between lengthy incarceration and potential no-prison outcomes like acquittal, plea deals, or deportation. DOJ probes into additional jurisdictions add pressure, while immunity claims and procedural delays maintain the tight consensus; upcoming trial scheduling or evidentiary rulings could decisively shift probabilities toward conviction and sentencing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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