Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 77.5% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice through 2026, anchored by his lifetime appointment until age 75 and the high bar for Senate impeachment—requiring a two-thirds vote rarely achieved in Brazilian history. Recent controversy from the CPI do Crime Organizado's mid-April report recommending his impeachment alongside Dias Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes over alleged Banco Master interference fizzled amid STF President Edson Fachin's rebuke and no Senate advancement. Moraes rebutted early April jet scandal claims, while a Datafolha poll last week named him the most recognized STF justice, underscoring his entrenched role despite polls showing 75% of Brazilians view the court as overly powerful ahead of October 2026 elections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$22,815 वॉल्यूम
$22,815 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$22,815 वॉल्यूम
$22,815 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 77.5% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice through 2026, anchored by his lifetime appointment until age 75 and the high bar for Senate impeachment—requiring a two-thirds vote rarely achieved in Brazilian history. Recent controversy from the CPI do Crime Organizado's mid-April report recommending his impeachment alongside Dias Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes over alleged Banco Master interference fizzled amid STF President Edson Fachin's rebuke and no Senate advancement. Moraes rebutted early April jet scandal claims, while a Datafolha poll last week named him the most recognized STF justice, underscoring his entrenched role despite polls showing 75% of Brazilians view the court as overly powerful ahead of October 2026 elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,815समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 77.5% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice through 2026, anchored by his lifetime appointment until age 75 and the high bar for Senate impeachment—requiring a two-thirds vote rarely achieved in Brazilian history. Recent controversy from the CPI do Crime Organizado's mid-April report recommending his impeachment alongside Dias Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes over alleged Banco Master interference fizzled amid STF President Edson Fachin's rebuke and no Senate advancement. Moraes rebutted early April jet scandal claims, while a Datafolha poll last week named him the most recognized STF justice, underscoring his entrenched role despite polls showing 75% of Brazilians view the court as overly powerful ahead of October 2026 elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$22,815समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 77.5% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice through 2026, anchored by his lifetime appointment until age 75 and the high bar for Senate impeachment—requiring a two-thirds vote rarely achieved in Brazilian history. Recent controversy from the CPI do Crime Organizado's mid-April report recommending his impeachment alongside Dias Toffoli and Gilmar Mendes over alleged Banco Master interference fizzled amid STF President Edson Fachin's rebuke and no Senate advancement. Moraes rebutted early April jet scandal claims, while a Datafolha poll last week named him the most recognized STF justice, underscoring his entrenched role despite polls showing 75% of Brazilians view the court as overly powerful ahead of October 2026 elections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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