Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs the 300-319 tweet range at 37.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, driven by his accelerated pace averaging 41 posts daily over the first six days, totaling 247 as of late April 15 per XTracker data. Recent spikes—including 57 posts April 11-12 and 78 April 12-13—fueled by viral commentary on South African race laws, app store controversies, and tech policy critiques have sustained momentum amid high public engagement. The closely contested field (280-339 bins at ~81%) hinges on moderated output during the remaining April 16-17 window, with no confirmed slowdown signals as the market nears resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया300-319 38%
280-299 23.8%
320-339 20.1%
340-359 8.3%
$9,010,107 वॉल्यूम
$9,010,107 वॉल्यूम
240-259
<1%
260-279
7%
280-299
24%
300-319
38%
320-339
20%
340-359
8%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 38%
280-299 23.8%
320-339 20.1%
340-359 8.3%
$9,010,107 वॉल्यूम
$9,010,107 वॉल्यूम
240-259
<1%
260-279
7%
280-299
24%
300-319
38%
320-339
20%
340-359
8%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs the 300-319 tweet range at 37.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, driven by his accelerated pace averaging 41 posts daily over the first six days, totaling 247 as of late April 15 per XTracker data. Recent spikes—including 57 posts April 11-12 and 78 April 12-13—fueled by viral commentary on South African race laws, app store controversies, and tech policy critiques have sustained momentum amid high public engagement. The closely contested field (280-339 bins at ~81%) hinges on moderated output during the remaining April 16-17 window, with no confirmed slowdown signals as the market nears resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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