Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 13-15, 2026, driven by verifiable public data from his @elonmusk account showing the exact tally within that bin as the counting window closed yesterday. This aligns with his moderated recent posting rhythm—down from peak bursts amid Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, and xAI developments—without late surges from viral controversies or political commentary that could inflate volume. Resolution hinges on official X metrics, with negligible upset risk barring rare disputes over post classifications like replies or deletions; traders see no realistic path to other ranges given the transparent, skin-in-the-game audit.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया65-89 100.0%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
115-139 <1%
$3,250,880 वॉल्यूम
$3,250,880 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल, 2026
40-64
<1%
65-89
100%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
65-89 100.0%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
115-139 <1%
$3,250,880 वॉल्यूम
$3,250,880 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल, 2026
40-64
$536,202 वॉल्यूम
<1%
65-89
$605,424 वॉल्यूम
100%
90-114
$775,454 वॉल्यूम
<1%
115-139
$332,634 वॉल्यूम
<1%
140-164
$107,106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
165-189
$63,052 वॉल्यूम
<1%
190-214
$47,277 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 13-15, 2026, driven by verifiable public data from his @elonmusk account showing the exact tally within that bin as the counting window closed yesterday. This aligns with his moderated recent posting rhythm—down from peak bursts amid Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, and xAI developments—without late surges from viral controversies or political commentary that could inflate volume. Resolution hinges on official X metrics, with negligible upset risk barring rare disputes over post classifications like replies or deletions; traders see no realistic path to other ranges given the transparent, skin-in-the-game audit.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,250,880समाप्ति तिथि
15 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 13-15, 2026, driven by verifiable public data from his @elonmusk account showing the exact tally within that bin as the counting window closed yesterday. This aligns with his moderated recent posting rhythm—down from peak bursts amid Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, and xAI developments—without late surges from viral controversies or political commentary that could inflate volume. Resolution hinges on official X metrics, with negligible upset risk barring rare disputes over post classifications like replies or deletions; traders see no realistic path to other ranges given the transparent, skin-in-the-game audit.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$3,250,880समाप्ति तिथि
15 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 13-15, 2026, driven by verifiable public data from his @elonmusk account showing the exact tally within that bin as the counting window closed yesterday. This aligns with his moderated recent posting rhythm—down from peak bursts amid Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, and xAI developments—without late surges from viral controversies or political commentary that could inflate volume. Resolution hinges on official X metrics, with negligible upset risk barring rare disputes over post classifications like replies or deletions; traders see no realistic path to other ranges given the transparent, skin-in-the-game audit.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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