Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from April 16-18 at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting his established pace of 25-40 posts daily amid high-engagement viral moments. Recent catalysts include April 15's flurry of tweets slamming South African President Ramaphosa's defense of Black Economic Empowerment laws as "super racist," alongside Tesla Semi promotions and AI hardware teases, sustaining momentum from April 12's Starlink licensing controversy that drew millions of views. Brief lulls like April 13-14 underscore variability, but xAI and Tesla updates could spike weekend activity, with resolution hinging on X tracker counts post-April 18 noon ET.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया65-89 40%
40-64 28%
90-114 19%
115-139 10%
$163,397 वॉल्यूम
$163,397 वॉल्यूम
<40
4%
40-64
28%
65-89
40%
90-114
19%
115-139
10%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 40%
40-64 28%
90-114 19%
115-139 10%
$163,397 वॉल्यूम
$163,397 वॉल्यूम
<40
4%
40-64
28%
65-89
40%
90-114
19%
115-139
10%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from April 16-18 at 39.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting his established pace of 25-40 posts daily amid high-engagement viral moments. Recent catalysts include April 15's flurry of tweets slamming South African President Ramaphosa's defense of Black Economic Empowerment laws as "super racist," alongside Tesla Semi promotions and AI hardware teases, sustaining momentum from April 12's Starlink licensing controversy that drew millions of views. Brief lulls like April 13-14 underscore variability, but xAI and Tesla updates could spike weekend activity, with resolution hinging on X tracker counts post-April 18 noon ET.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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