Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's steady X posting pace of roughly 35-45 posts per day through mid-April 2026, projecting a full-month total in the tightly contested 1160-1279 range, with 1240-1279 tweets holding a slim 14.1% implied probability edge. Recent spikes stem from his viral threads slamming South African "Apartheid 2.0" race laws, Tesla Semi and FSD demos, and jabs at OpenAI, Apple nudify apps, and WhatsApp privacy—fueling engagement amid xAI Grok wins and Tesla AI chip tapeouts. The narrow spread underscores uncertainty from event-driven surges, like potential Robotaxi updates or political flare-ups, with two weeks left to resolution amplifying volatility in this high-stakes pop culture metric.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1240-1279 14.1%
1200-1239 11.9%
1160-1199 11.6%
1120-1159 10.3%
$7,688,508 वॉल्यूम
$7,688,508 वॉल्यूम
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
5%
१०८०-१११९
4%
1120-1159
10%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
12%
1240-1279
14%
1280-1319
9%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
4%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
1240-1279 14.1%
1200-1239 11.9%
1160-1199 11.6%
1120-1159 10.3%
$7,688,508 वॉल्यूम
$7,688,508 वॉल्यूम
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
<1%
700-719
<1%
720-739
<1%
740-759
<1%
760-779
<1%
780-799
<1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
5%
१०८०-१११९
4%
1120-1159
10%
1160-1199
12%
1200-1239
12%
1240-1279
14%
1280-1319
9%
1320-1359
6%
1360-1399
4%
1400-1439
3%
1440-1479
2%
1480-1519
1%
1520-1559
1%
1560-1599
1%
1600-1679
1%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
समाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's steady X posting pace of roughly 35-45 posts per day through mid-April 2026, projecting a full-month total in the tightly contested 1160-1279 range, with 1240-1279 tweets holding a slim 14.1% implied probability edge. Recent spikes stem from his viral threads slamming South African "Apartheid 2.0" race laws, Tesla Semi and FSD demos, and jabs at OpenAI, Apple nudify apps, and WhatsApp privacy—fueling engagement amid xAI Grok wins and Tesla AI chip tapeouts. The narrow spread underscores uncertainty from event-driven surges, like potential Robotaxi updates or political flare-ups, with two weeks left to resolution amplifying volatility in this high-stakes pop culture metric.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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