Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Super Mario Galaxy Movie under $44 million in its third domestic weekend, with 95.5% implied probability, driven by industry tracking projecting a $35–45 million range—a forecasted 50% drop from its $69 million sophomore frame amid post-Easter normalization for family animation. After a record $132 million Easter opening and $315 million cumulative domestic through two weekends, the holdover reflects solid but softening legs compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's superior -35% third-weekend drop to $60 million, pacing slightly behind at this stage. Light competition from The Mummy ($17–22 million debut) and Project Hail Mary keeps it No. 1, but upset scenarios like exceptional word-of-mouth or repeat family viewings could push toward $48 million-plus if it mirrors the original's blockbuster trajectory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया"द सुपर मारियो गैलेक्सी मूवी" तीसरा वीकेंड बॉक्स ऑफिस
"द सुपर मारियो गैलेक्सी मूवी" तीसरा वीकेंड बॉक्स ऑफिस
<44m 95.5%
44-48 मिलियन 3.6%
>52मिलियन <1%
48-52 मिलियन <1%
$38,844 वॉल्यूम
$38,844 वॉल्यूम
20 अप्रैल, 2026
<44m
96%
44-48 मिलियन
4%
48-52 मिलियन
1%
>52मिलियन
1%
<44m 95.5%
44-48 मिलियन 3.6%
>52मिलियन <1%
48-52 मिलियन <1%
$38,844 वॉल्यूम
$38,844 वॉल्यूम
20 अप्रैल, 2026
<44m
$3,397 वॉल्यूम
96%
44-48 मिलियन
$5,150 वॉल्यूम
4%
48-52 मिलियन
$8,313 वॉल्यूम
1%
>52मिलियन
$21,984 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Super Mario Galaxy Movie under $44 million in its third domestic weekend, with 95.5% implied probability, driven by industry tracking projecting a $35–45 million range—a forecasted 50% drop from its $69 million sophomore frame amid post-Easter normalization for family animation. After a record $132 million Easter opening and $315 million cumulative domestic through two weekends, the holdover reflects solid but softening legs compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's superior -35% third-weekend drop to $60 million, pacing slightly behind at this stage. Light competition from The Mummy ($17–22 million debut) and Project Hail Mary keeps it No. 1, but upset scenarios like exceptional word-of-mouth or repeat family viewings could push toward $48 million-plus if it mirrors the original's blockbuster trajectory.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,844समाप्ति तिथि
20 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Super Mario Galaxy Movie under $44 million in its third domestic weekend, with 95.5% implied probability, driven by industry tracking projecting a $35–45 million range—a forecasted 50% drop from its $69 million sophomore frame amid post-Easter normalization for family animation. After a record $132 million Easter opening and $315 million cumulative domestic through two weekends, the holdover reflects solid but softening legs compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's superior -35% third-weekend drop to $60 million, pacing slightly behind at this stage. Light competition from The Mummy ($17–22 million debut) and Project Hail Mary keeps it No. 1, but upset scenarios like exceptional word-of-mouth or repeat family viewings could push toward $48 million-plus if it mirrors the original's blockbuster trajectory.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$38,844समाप्ति तिथि
20 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors The Super Mario Galaxy Movie under $44 million in its third domestic weekend, with 95.5% implied probability, driven by industry tracking projecting a $35–45 million range—a forecasted 50% drop from its $69 million sophomore frame amid post-Easter normalization for family animation. After a record $132 million Easter opening and $315 million cumulative domestic through two weekends, the holdover reflects solid but softening legs compared to the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's superior -35% third-weekend drop to $60 million, pacing slightly behind at this stage. Light competition from The Mummy ($17–22 million debut) and Project Hail Mary keeps it No. 1, but upset scenarios like exceptional word-of-mouth or repeat family viewings could push toward $48 million-plus if it mirrors the original's blockbuster trajectory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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