Following a failed first round of direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi without agreement on ceasefire extension or nuclear curbs, President Trump signaled a potential second round this week amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistani mediators, including a recent delegation to Tehran, are pressing for resumed negotiations they propose to host, as the conditional two-week truce nears expiration. These diplomatic channels and back-channel efforts represent the primary drivers of trader consensus on near-term meetings, with outcomes hinging on progress before April 30 amid heightened escalation risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$102,338 वॉल्यूम

डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
7%

जे.डी. वेंस
75%

मार्को रुबियो
9%

जारेड कुशनर
73%

स्टीव विटकॉफ़
82%
$102,338 वॉल्यूम

डोनाल्ड ट्रम्प
7%

जे.डी. वेंस
75%

मार्को रुबियो
9%

जारेड कुशनर
73%

स्टीव विटकॉफ़
82%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following a failed first round of direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner met Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi without agreement on ceasefire extension or nuclear curbs, President Trump signaled a potential second round this week amid a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistani mediators, including a recent delegation to Tehran, are pressing for resumed negotiations they propose to host, as the conditional two-week truce nears expiration. These diplomatic channels and back-channel efforts represent the primary drivers of trader consensus on near-term meetings, with outcomes hinging on progress before April 30 amid heightened escalation risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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