US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, have degraded over two-thirds of Tehran's missile, drone, and naval production facilities, destroying 92% of its largest warships and sharply curtailing its power projection, per recent CENTCOM updates. A US naval blockade on Iranian ports, implemented in early April, remains effective with no breaches reported as of April 14, signaling sustained military pressure despite a fragile truce and no direct fire exchanges between primary parties since early April. Iranian-backed militias continue low-level drone attacks on Gulf states, while proxy threats persist; traders watch an April 22 ceasefire expiration, potential infrastructure strikes, and stalled negotiations amid leadership turmoil following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई समाप्त होती है...?
ईरान के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई समाप्त होती है...?
$29,901,431 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
17 अप्रैल
100%
$29,901,431 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल
$26,889,385 वॉल्यूम
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, have degraded over two-thirds of Tehran's missile, drone, and naval production facilities, destroying 92% of its largest warships and sharply curtailing its power projection, per recent CENTCOM updates. A US naval blockade on Iranian ports, implemented in early April, remains effective with no breaches reported as of April 14, signaling sustained military pressure despite a fragile truce and no direct fire exchanges between primary parties since early April. Iranian-backed militias continue low-level drone attacks on Gulf states, while proxy threats persist; traders watch an April 22 ceasefire expiration, potential infrastructure strikes, and stalled negotiations amid leadership turmoil following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,901,431समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवादित
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवादित
अंतिम समीक्षा
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, have degraded over two-thirds of Tehran's missile, drone, and naval production facilities, destroying 92% of its largest warships and sharply curtailing its power projection, per recent CENTCOM updates. A US naval blockade on Iranian ports, implemented in early April, remains effective with no breaches reported as of April 14, signaling sustained military pressure despite a fragile truce and no direct fire exchanges between primary parties since early April. Iranian-backed militias continue low-level drone attacks on Gulf states, while proxy threats persist; traders watch an April 22 ceasefire expiration, potential infrastructure strikes, and stalled negotiations amid leadership turmoil following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$29,901,431समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवादित
परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवादित
अंतिम समीक्षा
US and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, launched February 28, 2026, have degraded over two-thirds of Tehran's missile, drone, and naval production facilities, destroying 92% of its largest warships and sharply curtailing its power projection, per recent CENTCOM updates. A US naval blockade on Iranian ports, implemented in early April, remains effective with no breaches reported as of April 14, signaling sustained military pressure despite a fragile truce and no direct fire exchanges between primary parties since early April. Iranian-backed militias continue low-level drone attacks on Gulf states, while proxy threats persist; traders watch an April 22 ceasefire expiration, potential infrastructure strikes, and stalled negotiations amid leadership turmoil following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's death.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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