Recent US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad collapsed over the weekend without agreement, primarily due to irreconcilable differences on Iran's uranium enrichment program, driving trader consensus toward a 62.5% implied probability of no deal by April 30. The US, led by Vice President JD Vance, demanded a 20-year moratorium on enrichment plus stockpile reductions in exchange for sanctions relief and ceasefire extensions, while Iran countered with a five-year suspension, insisting on its sovereign right to domestic enrichment under IAEA monitoring. IAEA reports highlight Iran's growing 60% enriched uranium stockpile exceeding 400kg, complicating verification. Though a second round of talks may resume soon amid fragile truce extensions, the wide gap and Tehran's firm stance on nuclear activities sustain skepticism among traders betting real money on outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान 30 अप्रैल तक यूरेनियम के संवर्धन को समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
ईरान 30 अप्रैल तक यूरेनियम के संवर्धन को समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
हाँ
$1,014,678 वॉल्यूम
$1,014,678 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$1,014,678 वॉल्यूम
$1,014,678 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad collapsed over the weekend without agreement, primarily due to irreconcilable differences on Iran's uranium enrichment program, driving trader consensus toward a 62.5% implied probability of no deal by April 30. The US, led by Vice President JD Vance, demanded a 20-year moratorium on enrichment plus stockpile reductions in exchange for sanctions relief and ceasefire extensions, while Iran countered with a five-year suspension, insisting on its sovereign right to domestic enrichment under IAEA monitoring. IAEA reports highlight Iran's growing 60% enriched uranium stockpile exceeding 400kg, complicating verification. Though a second round of talks may resume soon amid fragile truce extensions, the wide gap and Tehran's firm stance on nuclear activities sustain skepticism among traders betting real money on outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,014,678समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad collapsed over the weekend without agreement, primarily due to irreconcilable differences on Iran's uranium enrichment program, driving trader consensus toward a 62.5% implied probability of no deal by April 30. The US, led by Vice President JD Vance, demanded a 20-year moratorium on enrichment plus stockpile reductions in exchange for sanctions relief and ceasefire extensions, while Iran countered with a five-year suspension, insisting on its sovereign right to domestic enrichment under IAEA monitoring. IAEA reports highlight Iran's growing 60% enriched uranium stockpile exceeding 400kg, complicating verification. Though a second round of talks may resume soon amid fragile truce extensions, the wide gap and Tehran's firm stance on nuclear activities sustain skepticism among traders betting real money on outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,015,418समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran negotiations in Islamabad collapsed over the weekend without agreement, primarily due to irreconcilable differences on Iran's uranium enrichment program, driving trader consensus toward a 62.5% implied probability of no deal by April 30. The US, led by Vice President JD Vance, demanded a 20-year moratorium on enrichment plus stockpile reductions in exchange for sanctions relief and ceasefire extensions, while Iran countered with a five-year suspension, insisting on its sovereign right to domestic enrichment under IAEA monitoring. IAEA reports highlight Iran's growing 60% enriched uranium stockpile exceeding 400kg, complicating verification. Though a second round of talks may resume soon amid fragile truce extensions, the wide gap and Tehran's firm stance on nuclear activities sustain skepticism among traders betting real money on outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न