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North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

Market icon

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

अप्रैल 30

अप्रैल 30

73% संभावना
Polymarket
नया
73% संभावना
Polymarket
नया
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's frequent ballistic and cruise missile tests throughout early 2026, including a salvo of short-range ballistic missiles on April 8 and cruise/anti-ship launches from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on April 13 observed by Kim Jong Un, have driven trader consensus to price a "Yes" outcome at 77%, reflecting Pyongyang's accelerated weapons demonstrations amid heightened Korean Peninsula tensions. South Korea detected multiple projectiles in recent days, following March's ICBM engine test and multiple rocket launcher firings, underscoring a pattern of near-weekly activity that violates UN Security Council resolutions. With no de-escalation signals and historical precedents of sustained testing cycles, markets anticipate further launches before April 30, though diplomatic breakthroughs or internal delays could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
वॉल्यूम
$205
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's frequent ballistic and cruise missile tests throughout early 2026, including a salvo of short-range ballistic missiles on April 8 and cruise/anti-ship launches from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on April 13 observed by Kim Jong Un, have driven trader consensus to price a "Yes" outcome at 77%, reflecting Pyongyang's accelerated weapons demonstrations amid heightened Korean Peninsula tensions. South Korea detected multiple projectiles in recent days, following March's ICBM engine test and multiple rocket launcher firings, underscoring a pattern of near-weekly activity that violates UN Security Council resolutions. With no de-escalation signals and historical precedents of sustained testing cycles, markets anticipate further launches before April 30, though diplomatic breakthroughs or internal delays could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.

Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.

The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
वॉल्यूम
$205
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" Polymarket पर एक पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है जहाँ ट्रेडर इस बात के आधार पर "हाँ" या "नहीं" शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं कि क्या उन्हें लगता है यह घटना होगी। वर्तमान भीड़-संचालित संभावना "Yes" के लिए 73% है। उदाहरण के लिए, अगर "हाँ" की कीमत 73¢ है, तो बाज़ार सामूहिक रूप से इस घटना के होने की 73% संभावना मानता है। ये संभावनाएँ लगातार बदलती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर नए विकास और जानकारी पर प्रतिक्रिया करते हैं। सही परिणाम में शेयर बाज़ार समाधान पर प्रत्येक $1 में भुनाए जा सकते हैं।

"North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Apr 14, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, बस चुनें कि आपको लगता है उत्तर "हाँ" है या "नहीं"। प्रत्येक पक्ष की एक वर्तमान कीमत है जो बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। अपनी राशि दर्ज करें और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें। अगर आप "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम "हाँ" हल होता है, तो प्रत्येक शेयर $1 का भुगतान करता है। अगर "नहीं" हल होता है, तो आपके "हाँ" शेयर $0 का भुगतान करते हैं। लाभ सुरक्षित करने या नुकसान कम करने के लिए आप समाधान से पहले किसी भी समय अपने शेयर बेच सकते हैं।

"North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" की वर्तमान संभावना "Yes" के लिए 73% है। इसका मतलब है कि Polymarket भीड़ वर्तमान में मानती है कि इस घटना के होने की 73% संभावना है। ये संभावनाएँ वास्तविक ट्रेड के आधार पर रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।