Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Esmaeil Baghaei's statement yesterday affirming that uranium enrichment levels and types are negotiable has propelled trader consensus on Polymarket to a 58.5% implied probability for Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment by June 30, 2026. This follows the April 11-12 deadlock in direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad, where the US presented a final offer demanding a complete halt to enrichment, facility dismantlement, stockpile removal, proxy funding cessation, and Strait of Hormuz access—demands Iran rejected while insisting on its enrichment rights. With no date set for a second round but diplomatic doors open amid US blockade threats, traders anticipate a compromise before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाईरान 30 जून तक यूरेनियम का संवर्धन समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
ईरान 30 जून तक यूरेनियम का संवर्धन समाप्त करने के लिए सहमत है?
हाँ
$437,098 वॉल्यूम
$437,098 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$437,098 वॉल्यूम
$437,098 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Esmaeil Baghaei's statement yesterday affirming that uranium enrichment levels and types are negotiable has propelled trader consensus on Polymarket to a 58.5% implied probability for Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment by June 30, 2026. This follows the April 11-12 deadlock in direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad, where the US presented a final offer demanding a complete halt to enrichment, facility dismantlement, stockpile removal, proxy funding cessation, and Strait of Hormuz access—demands Iran rejected while insisting on its enrichment rights. With no date set for a second round but diplomatic doors open amid US blockade threats, traders anticipate a compromise before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$437,098समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Esmaeil Baghaei's statement yesterday affirming that uranium enrichment levels and types are negotiable has propelled trader consensus on Polymarket to a 58.5% implied probability for Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment by June 30, 2026. This follows the April 11-12 deadlock in direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad, where the US presented a final offer demanding a complete halt to enrichment, facility dismantlement, stockpile removal, proxy funding cessation, and Strait of Hormuz access—demands Iran rejected while insisting on its enrichment rights. With no date set for a second round but diplomatic doors open amid US blockade threats, traders anticipate a compromise before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$437,098समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Esmaeil Baghaei's statement yesterday affirming that uranium enrichment levels and types are negotiable has propelled trader consensus on Polymarket to a 58.5% implied probability for Iran publicly agreeing to end all enrichment by June 30, 2026. This follows the April 11-12 deadlock in direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad, where the US presented a final offer demanding a complete halt to enrichment, facility dismantlement, stockpile removal, proxy funding cessation, and Strait of Hormuz access—demands Iran rejected while insisting on its enrichment rights. With no date set for a second round but diplomatic doors open amid US blockade threats, traders anticipate a compromise before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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