Trader consensus on Polymarket narrowly favors Nicolás Maduro at 50.5% to remain Venezuela's leader by end of 2026, edging out acting president Delcy Rodríguez at 36%, despite his January 3 U.S. military capture and her ascension as interim head of state under constitutional succession. This reflects persistent uncertainty in the chavista-led transition, where Rodríguez has tightened her grip amid internal divisions and U.S. demands for elections and reforms during her first 100 days ending this week, but the repressive state apparatus endures intact. Opposition leaders like María Corina Machado, planning a return since early March, issued fresh calls for a presidential vote last week after the 90-day interim period lapsed without polls, though their sidelined status caps odds below 10%. Upcoming electoral pressures and diplomatic negotiations could shift the closely contested balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के अंत में वेनेजुएला के नेता?
2026 के अंत में वेनेजुएला के नेता?
निकोलस मादुरो 51.7%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़ 35%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो 8%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं 1.4%
$82,855,638 वॉल्यूम
$82,855,638 वॉल्यूम
निकोलस मादुरो
52%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़
35%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो
8%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
1%
एडमुण्डो गोंज़ालेज़
<1%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
<1%
मार्को रूबियो
<1%
डायोस्डाडो काबेल्लो रोंदोन
<1%
डिनोरा फिगुएरा
<1%
व्लादिमीर पाद्रीनो लोपेज़
<1%
जॉर्ज रोड्रिग्ज
<1%
पीट हेगसेथ
<1%
फ्रैंक डोनोवन
<1%
इवान पेट्टस
<1%
डैन कैन
<1%
रिचर्ड ग्रेनेल
<1%
निकोलस मादुरो 51.7%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़ 35%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो 8%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं 1.4%
$82,855,638 वॉल्यूम
$82,855,638 वॉल्यूम
निकोलस मादुरो
52%
डेल्सी रोड्रिगेज़
35%
मारिया कोरीना माचाडो
8%
कोई राष्ट्राध्यक्ष नहीं
1%
एडमुण्डो गोंज़ालेज़
<1%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
<1%
मार्को रूबियो
<1%
डायोस्डाडो काबेल्लो रोंदोन
<1%
डिनोरा फिगुएरा
<1%
व्लादिमीर पाद्रीनो लोपेज़
<1%
जॉर्ज रोड्रिग्ज
<1%
पीट हेगसेथ
<1%
फ्रैंक डोनोवन
<1%
इवान पेट्टस
<1%
डैन कैन
<1%
रिचर्ड ग्रेनेल
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket narrowly favors Nicolás Maduro at 50.5% to remain Venezuela's leader by end of 2026, edging out acting president Delcy Rodríguez at 36%, despite his January 3 U.S. military capture and her ascension as interim head of state under constitutional succession. This reflects persistent uncertainty in the chavista-led transition, where Rodríguez has tightened her grip amid internal divisions and U.S. demands for elections and reforms during her first 100 days ending this week, but the repressive state apparatus endures intact. Opposition leaders like María Corina Machado, planning a return since early March, issued fresh calls for a presidential vote last week after the 90-day interim period lapsed without polls, though their sidelined status caps odds below 10%. Upcoming electoral pressures and diplomatic negotiations could shift the closely contested balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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