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U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

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U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

दिस 31

दिस 31

7% संभावना
Polymarket
नया
7% संभावना
Polymarket
नया
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by December 31, driven by the Trump administration's explicit rejection of her candidacy and formal endorsement of Delcy Rodríguez—Maduro's former vice president—as interim president since a March 10 State Department letter. Following U.S. forces' January capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, President Trump stated Machado lacks domestic support and respect to govern, sidelining the opposition despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and prior U.S. backing of proxy Edmundo González's 2024 election tallies. Recent April developments, including U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and her extension beyond the 90-day constitutional limit, signal stabilization priorities over opposition empowerment; Machado's coordinated return plans with Washington have yet to shift this policy amid transition talks toward elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,846
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as Venezuela's leader by December 31, driven by the Trump administration's explicit rejection of her candidacy and formal endorsement of Delcy Rodríguez—Maduro's former vice president—as interim president since a March 10 State Department letter. Following U.S. forces' January capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, President Trump stated Machado lacks domestic support and respect to govern, sidelining the opposition despite her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize and prior U.S. backing of proxy Edmundo González's 2024 election tallies. Recent April developments, including U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and her extension beyond the 90-day constitutional limit, signal stabilization priorities over opposition empowerment; Machado's coordinated return plans with Washington have yet to shift this policy amid transition talks toward elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.

A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,846
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" Polymarket पर एक पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है जहाँ ट्रेडर इस बात के आधार पर "हाँ" या "नहीं" शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं कि क्या उन्हें लगता है यह घटना होगी। वर्तमान भीड़-संचालित संभावना "Yes" के लिए 7% है। उदाहरण के लिए, अगर "हाँ" की कीमत 7¢ है, तो बाज़ार सामूहिक रूप से इस घटना के होने की 7% संभावना मानता है। ये संभावनाएँ लगातार बदलती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर नए विकास और जानकारी पर प्रतिक्रिया करते हैं। सही परिणाम में शेयर बाज़ार समाधान पर प्रत्येक $1 में भुनाए जा सकते हैं।

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" Polymarket पर एक नवनिर्मित बाज़ार है, Jan 31, 2026 को लॉन्च किया गया। एक शुरुआती बाज़ार के रूप में, यह पहले ट्रेडरों में शामिल होने और संभावनाएँ सेट करने और बाज़ार के शुरुआती मूल्य संकेत स्थापित करने का आपका अवसर है। आप समय के साथ बाज़ार की गति बढ़ने पर वॉल्यूम और ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि को ट्रैक करने के लिए इस पेज को बुकमार्क भी कर सकते हैं।

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, बस चुनें कि आपको लगता है उत्तर "हाँ" है या "नहीं"। प्रत्येक पक्ष की एक वर्तमान कीमत है जो बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। अपनी राशि दर्ज करें और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें। अगर आप "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम "हाँ" हल होता है, तो प्रत्येक शेयर $1 का भुगतान करता है। अगर "नहीं" हल होता है, तो आपके "हाँ" शेयर $0 का भुगतान करते हैं। लाभ सुरक्षित करने या नुकसान कम करने के लिए आप समाधान से पहले किसी भी समय अपने शेयर बेच सकते हैं।

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" की वर्तमान संभावना "Yes" के लिए 7% है। इसका मतलब है कि Polymarket भीड़ वर्तमान में मानती है कि इस घटना के होने की 7% संभावना है। ये संभावनाएँ वास्तविक ट्रेड के आधार पर रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।