Recent US-Iran nuclear negotiations in Pakistan ended without agreement after 20 hours of talks, deadlocked over uranium enrichment suspension length—Washington demanding a 20-year halt to block any weapons path, while Tehran offered three to five years alongside stockpile turnover signals. Despite President Trump's insistence on zero enrichment and threats of Strait of Hormuz blockades, Omani mediation reports prior "significant progress," fueling trader consensus at 64% implied probability for an accord by December 31, as eight months remain for compromise amid sanctions relief incentives, IAEA monitoring pressures, and de-escalation needs in regional conflicts. Upcoming talks could tip balances, with historical JCPOA patterns showing late breakthroughs possible.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$61,238 वॉल्यूम
$61,238 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
$61,238 वॉल्यूम
$61,238 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran nuclear negotiations in Pakistan ended without agreement after 20 hours of talks, deadlocked over uranium enrichment suspension length—Washington demanding a 20-year halt to block any weapons path, while Tehran offered three to five years alongside stockpile turnover signals. Despite President Trump's insistence on zero enrichment and threats of Strait of Hormuz blockades, Omani mediation reports prior "significant progress," fueling trader consensus at 64% implied probability for an accord by December 31, as eight months remain for compromise amid sanctions relief incentives, IAEA monitoring pressures, and de-escalation needs in regional conflicts. Upcoming talks could tip balances, with historical JCPOA patterns showing late breakthroughs possible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$61,238समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran nuclear negotiations in Pakistan ended without agreement after 20 hours of talks, deadlocked over uranium enrichment suspension length—Washington demanding a 20-year halt to block any weapons path, while Tehran offered three to five years alongside stockpile turnover signals. Despite President Trump's insistence on zero enrichment and threats of Strait of Hormuz blockades, Omani mediation reports prior "significant progress," fueling trader consensus at 64% implied probability for an accord by December 31, as eight months remain for compromise amid sanctions relief incentives, IAEA monitoring pressures, and de-escalation needs in regional conflicts. Upcoming talks could tip balances, with historical JCPOA patterns showing late breakthroughs possible.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$61,238समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran nuclear negotiations in Pakistan ended without agreement after 20 hours of talks, deadlocked over uranium enrichment suspension length—Washington demanding a 20-year halt to block any weapons path, while Tehran offered three to five years alongside stockpile turnover signals. Despite President Trump's insistence on zero enrichment and threats of Strait of Hormuz blockades, Omani mediation reports prior "significant progress," fueling trader consensus at 64% implied probability for an accord by December 31, as eight months remain for compromise amid sanctions relief incentives, IAEA monitoring pressures, and de-escalation needs in regional conflicts. Upcoming talks could tip balances, with historical JCPOA patterns showing late breakthroughs possible.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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