Recent Islamabad talks between U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials ended April 12 without agreement after 21 hours, deadlocked on nuclear issues including a U.S.-proposed 20-year uranium enrichment suspension and facility dismantlement versus Iran's five-year counteroffer, yet signaling momentum for a second round amid a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fragile two-week ceasefire nearing expiration on April 21. President Trump's statements that Iran urgently wants a deal, alongside prior February Oman-mediated progress on zero nuclear stockpiles with IAEA verification, drive trader consensus at 70% Yes probability before 2027, betting on diplomatic breakthrough under war costs, sanctions pressure, and mediation by Pakistan and Oman.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$628,230 वॉल्यूम
$628,230 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$628,230 वॉल्यूम
$628,230 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent Islamabad talks between U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials ended April 12 without agreement after 21 hours, deadlocked on nuclear issues including a U.S.-proposed 20-year uranium enrichment suspension and facility dismantlement versus Iran's five-year counteroffer, yet signaling momentum for a second round amid a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fragile two-week ceasefire nearing expiration on April 21. President Trump's statements that Iran urgently wants a deal, alongside prior February Oman-mediated progress on zero nuclear stockpiles with IAEA verification, drive trader consensus at 70% Yes probability before 2027, betting on diplomatic breakthrough under war costs, sanctions pressure, and mediation by Pakistan and Oman.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$628,230समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent Islamabad talks between U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials ended April 12 without agreement after 21 hours, deadlocked on nuclear issues including a U.S.-proposed 20-year uranium enrichment suspension and facility dismantlement versus Iran's five-year counteroffer, yet signaling momentum for a second round amid a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fragile two-week ceasefire nearing expiration on April 21. President Trump's statements that Iran urgently wants a deal, alongside prior February Oman-mediated progress on zero nuclear stockpiles with IAEA verification, drive trader consensus at 70% Yes probability before 2027, betting on diplomatic breakthrough under war costs, sanctions pressure, and mediation by Pakistan and Oman.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$628,230समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Islamabad talks between U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials ended April 12 without agreement after 21 hours, deadlocked on nuclear issues including a U.S.-proposed 20-year uranium enrichment suspension and facility dismantlement versus Iran's five-year counteroffer, yet signaling momentum for a second round amid a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fragile two-week ceasefire nearing expiration on April 21. President Trump's statements that Iran urgently wants a deal, alongside prior February Oman-mediated progress on zero nuclear stockpiles with IAEA verification, drive trader consensus at 70% Yes probability before 2027, betting on diplomatic breakthrough under war costs, sanctions pressure, and mediation by Pakistan and Oman.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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