A temporary 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect on April 16, pausing hostilities after Israel's March 2 ground incursion into southern Lebanon in response to rocket attacks, but Israeli Defense Forces remain deployed in key areas including highland outposts and disputed Shebaa Farms to enforce UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which requires Hezbollah's withdrawal south of the Litani River. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam is pressing for full Israeli troop withdrawal through direct talks, amid Hezbollah's rejection of interim deals and Israeli statements affirming retained control to secure northern communities. Traders eye the ceasefire's expiration around April 26 and potential U.S.-brokered extensions or breakdowns, with no confirmed timeline for complete disengagement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?
इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?
नया
30 जून, 2026
30 अप्रैल
23%
31 मई
65%
30 जून
44%
$72 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
$65 वॉल्यूम
23%
31 मई
$7 वॉल्यूम
65%
30 जून
$0 वॉल्यूम
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.A temporary 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect on April 16, pausing hostilities after Israel's March 2 ground incursion into southern Lebanon in response to rocket attacks, but Israeli Defense Forces remain deployed in key areas including highland outposts and disputed Shebaa Farms to enforce UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which requires Hezbollah's withdrawal south of the Litani River. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam is pressing for full Israeli troop withdrawal through direct talks, amid Hezbollah's rejection of interim deals and Israeli statements affirming retained control to secure northern communities. Traders eye the ceasefire's expiration around April 26 and potential U.S.-brokered extensions or breakdowns, with no confirmed timeline for complete disengagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$72समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.A temporary 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect on April 16, pausing hostilities after Israel's March 2 ground incursion into southern Lebanon in response to rocket attacks, but Israeli Defense Forces remain deployed in key areas including highland outposts and disputed Shebaa Farms to enforce UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which requires Hezbollah's withdrawal south of the Litani River. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam is pressing for full Israeli troop withdrawal through direct talks, amid Hezbollah's rejection of interim deals and Israeli statements affirming retained control to secure northern communities. Traders eye the ceasefire's expiration around April 26 and potential U.S.-brokered extensions or breakdowns, with no confirmed timeline for complete disengagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$72समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A temporary 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect on April 16, pausing hostilities after Israel's March 2 ground incursion into southern Lebanon in response to rocket attacks, but Israeli Defense Forces remain deployed in key areas including highland outposts and disputed Shebaa Farms to enforce UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which requires Hezbollah's withdrawal south of the Litani River. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam is pressing for full Israeli troop withdrawal through direct talks, amid Hezbollah's rejection of interim deals and Israeli statements affirming retained control to secure northern communities. Traders eye the ceasefire's expiration around April 26 and potential U.S.-brokered extensions or breakdowns, with no confirmed timeline for complete disengagement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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