Skip to main content

US में ट्रेड करने के लिए polymarket.us पर जाएं

icon for इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?
भू - राजनीति·ईरान युद्धविराम

इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?

icon for इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?
भू - राजनीति·ईरान युद्धविराम

इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?

$8,457,390 वॉल्यूम

30 सित, 2026
Polymarket

$8,457,390 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

30 सितंबर

$264,993 वॉल्यूम

1%

31 दिसंबर

$230,603 वॉल्यूम

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.The June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon established a conditions-based process for phased IDF redeployment from southern Lebanon, beginning with limited pilot zones transferred to the Lebanese Armed Forces only after verified progress on Hezbollah disarmament and infrastructure dismantlement. Israeli officials have repeatedly stated that further withdrawals depend on results rather than fixed timelines, with Defense Minister Israel Katz emphasizing no territorial ambitions but a sustained presence until the threat is removed. Recent September 2026 developments include Lebanese President Joseph Aoun's commitment to state weapons monopoly through dialogue and reports of LAF operations confiscating arms in pilot zones, alongside Israeli assessments of possible Hezbollah coordination with those forces. Hezbollah leadership has rejected linking any Israeli pullback to its disarmament. Trader consensus on withdrawal dates therefore centers on the pace of Lebanese army deployment, verification mechanisms, and risks of escalation or stalled negotiations ahead of the UNIFIL mandate expiration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$8,457,390
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Jun 22, 2026, 12:32 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.The June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon established a conditions-based process for phased IDF redeployment from southern Lebanon, beginning with limited pilot zones transferred to the Lebanese Armed Forces only after verified progress on Hezbollah disarmament and infrastructure dismantlement. Israeli officials have repeatedly stated that further withdrawals depend on results rather than fixed timelines, with Defense Minister Israel Katz emphasizing no territorial ambitions but a sustained presence until the threat is removed. Recent September 2026 developments include Lebanese President Joseph Aoun's commitment to state weapons monopoly through dialogue and reports of LAF operations confiscating arms in pilot zones, alongside Israeli assessments of possible Hezbollah coordination with those forces. Hezbollah leadership has rejected linking any Israeli pullback to its disarmament. Trader consensus on withdrawal dates therefore centers on the pace of Lebanese army deployment, verification mechanisms, and risks of escalation or stalled negotiations ahead of the UNIFIL mandate expiration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$8,457,390
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Jun 22, 2026, 12:32 PM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x65070BE91...

संबंधित

icon for क्या 30 सितंबर तक इज़रायली सेना बेरूत में प्रवेश कर गई थी?

क्या 30 सितंबर तक इज़रायली सेना बेरूत में प्रवेश कर गई थी?

4%
हाँ
icon for क्या इस्राइली सेना 31 दिसंबर तक नबातियेह में प्रवेश करेगी?

क्या इस्राइली सेना 31 दिसंबर तक नबातियेह में प्रवेश करेगी?

3%
हाँ
icon for क्या 30 सितंबर तक इजराइली सेना टायर में प्रवेश कर जाती है?

क्या 30 सितंबर तक इजराइली सेना टायर में प्रवेश कर जाती है?

<1%
हाँ

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?" Polymarket पर 7 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर 7% (7¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 30 सितंबर 1% पर है।

आज तक, "इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?" ने कुल $8.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Apr 16, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 7 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "31 दिसंबर" केवल 7% पर है, "30 सितंबर" 1% पर पास है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"इज़राइल लेबनान से... तक पीछे हट जाता है?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।