US and Israeli strikes in June 2025 damaged Iranian nuclear sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, leaving much of Tehran’s estimated 440 kg of up to 60% enriched uranium inaccessible under rubble or possibly relocated beforehand, according to IAEA assessments and satellite analysis. Iran suspended IAEA inspections after the attacks and has stated no plans to recover the material. Ongoing 2025–2026 bilateral talks, including proposals for Iran to transfer or dispose of its highly enriched uranium stockpile as part of any agreement, have produced statements of in-principle commitments but no finalized transfer mechanism. Trader pricing reflects these physical and diplomatic barriers, alongside limited recent progress toward verifiable handover amid broader ceasefire and sanctions discussions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका ने ईरान द्वारा संवर्धित यूरेनियम प्राप्त किया...?
$26,851,134 वॉल्यूम
31 जुलाई
3%
30 जून
1%
31 दिसंबर
14%
$26,851,134 वॉल्यूम
31 जुलाई
3%
30 जून
1%
31 दिसंबर
14%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 7, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli strikes in June 2025 damaged Iranian nuclear sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, leaving much of Tehran’s estimated 440 kg of up to 60% enriched uranium inaccessible under rubble or possibly relocated beforehand, according to IAEA assessments and satellite analysis. Iran suspended IAEA inspections after the attacks and has stated no plans to recover the material. Ongoing 2025–2026 bilateral talks, including proposals for Iran to transfer or dispose of its highly enriched uranium stockpile as part of any agreement, have produced statements of in-principle commitments but no finalized transfer mechanism. Trader pricing reflects these physical and diplomatic barriers, alongside limited recent progress toward verifiable handover amid broader ceasefire and sanctions discussions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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