US-Iran negotiations following 2025 US-Israeli strikes on enrichment sites continue to center on the fate of Iran’s pre-strike stockpile, estimated at roughly 440 kg of 60% enriched uranium largely buried or inaccessible at locations such as Isfahan. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding and subsequent talks emphasize IAEA inspections, potential downblending of material, limits on future enrichment, and sanctions relief, with the US seeking physical removal or destruction while Iran has signaled willingness only to dilute stocks under supervision or via third-party custody. Recent diplomatic signals include US readiness to supply nuclear fuel and parallel civil nuclear arrangements, yet no verified transfer or seizure of Iranian material has occurred. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of confirmed possession by the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका ने ईरान द्वारा संवर्धित यूरेनियम प्राप्त किया...?
$29,322,514 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
1%
31 दिसंबर
8%
$29,322,514 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
1%
31 दिसंबर
8%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 1, 2026, 11:37 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations following 2025 US-Israeli strikes on enrichment sites continue to center on the fate of Iran’s pre-strike stockpile, estimated at roughly 440 kg of 60% enriched uranium largely buried or inaccessible at locations such as Isfahan. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding and subsequent talks emphasize IAEA inspections, potential downblending of material, limits on future enrichment, and sanctions relief, with the US seeking physical removal or destruction while Iran has signaled willingness only to dilute stocks under supervision or via third-party custody. Recent diplomatic signals include US readiness to supply nuclear fuel and parallel civil nuclear arrangements, yet no verified transfer or seizure of Iranian material has occurred. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and the absence of confirmed possession by the December 31, 2026 resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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