Recent US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in 2025 and early 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, halting Iran's program and leaving the status of its highly enriched uranium stockpile uncertain, with reports indicating material may lie under rubble or have been relocated beforehand. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding reaffirmed Tehran's commitment against nuclear weapons development, amid ongoing diplomatic talks focused on verification, stockpile dilution, and limits on domestic enrichment rather than direct transfer. IAEA access remains restricted, and no official US confirmation of possession has occurred. Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to US acquisition by late 2026, reflecting these barriers, though further negotiations, inspections, or escalations could alter outcomes before resolution deadlines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका ने ईरान द्वारा संवर्धित यूरेनियम प्राप्त किया...?
$28,982,700 वॉल्यूम
31 जुलाई
<1%
August 31
2%
30 सितंबर
5%
31 दिसंबर
9%
$28,982,700 वॉल्यूम
31 जुलाई
<1%
August 31
2%
30 सितंबर
5%
31 दिसंबर
9%
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 10, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in 2025 and early 2026 damaged enrichment facilities at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, halting Iran's program and leaving the status of its highly enriched uranium stockpile uncertain, with reports indicating material may lie under rubble or have been relocated beforehand. A June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding reaffirmed Tehran's commitment against nuclear weapons development, amid ongoing diplomatic talks focused on verification, stockpile dilution, and limits on domestic enrichment rather than direct transfer. IAEA access remains restricted, and no official US confirmation of possession has occurred. Trader consensus assigns low probabilities to US acquisition by late 2026, reflecting these barriers, though further negotiations, inspections, or escalations could alter outcomes before resolution deadlines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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