US-Israeli airstrikes in late 2025 severely damaged Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities, ballistic missile sites, and uranium stockpiles, as confirmed by IAEA reports in February and March 2026 showing no radiation leaks but limited access for inspections. This setback, combined with a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire on April 7 and ongoing US-Iran talks in Islamabad demanding program dismantlement and IAEA verification, has solidified trader consensus at 90.5% for "No" on a nuclear weapon before 2027. Iran's insistence on retaining some enrichment amid stalled diplomacy underscores uncertainty, though no verified weaponization progress has emerged; potential deal failure or covert advances could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$526,979 वॉल्यूम
$526,979 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$526,979 वॉल्यूम
$526,979 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".US-Israeli airstrikes in late 2025 severely damaged Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities, ballistic missile sites, and uranium stockpiles, as confirmed by IAEA reports in February and March 2026 showing no radiation leaks but limited access for inspections. This setback, combined with a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire on April 7 and ongoing US-Iran talks in Islamabad demanding program dismantlement and IAEA verification, has solidified trader consensus at 90.5% for "No" on a nuclear weapon before 2027. Iran's insistence on retaining some enrichment amid stalled diplomacy underscores uncertainty, though no verified weaponization progress has emerged; potential deal failure or covert advances could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$526,979समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".US-Israeli airstrikes in late 2025 severely damaged Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities, ballistic missile sites, and uranium stockpiles, as confirmed by IAEA reports in February and March 2026 showing no radiation leaks but limited access for inspections. This setback, combined with a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire on April 7 and ongoing US-Iran talks in Islamabad demanding program dismantlement and IAEA verification, has solidified trader consensus at 90.5% for "No" on a nuclear weapon before 2027. Iran's insistence on retaining some enrichment amid stalled diplomacy underscores uncertainty, though no verified weaponization progress has emerged; potential deal failure or covert advances could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$526,979समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Israeli airstrikes in late 2025 severely damaged Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities, ballistic missile sites, and uranium stockpiles, as confirmed by IAEA reports in February and March 2026 showing no radiation leaks but limited access for inspections. This setback, combined with a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire on April 7 and ongoing US-Iran talks in Islamabad demanding program dismantlement and IAEA verification, has solidified trader consensus at 90.5% for "No" on a nuclear weapon before 2027. Iran's insistence on retaining some enrichment amid stalled diplomacy underscores uncertainty, though no verified weaponization progress has emerged; potential deal failure or covert advances could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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