Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes in 2025 and early 2026 severely damaged Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, destroying or disabling operating centrifuges and pushing U.S. intelligence estimates of Iran's breakout timeline to nine to twelve months or longer. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, including a proposed 60-day ceasefire extension, center on securing Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile and preventing any resumption of enrichment activities. Iranian officials have rejected transfers of the material abroad while seeking sanctions relief first, and no verified reconstruction or renewed enrichment has occurred. These developments sustain trader consensus that Iran will not produce a nuclear weapon before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$624,840 वॉल्यूम
$624,840 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$624,840 वॉल्यूम
$624,840 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes in 2025 and early 2026 severely damaged Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, destroying or disabling operating centrifuges and pushing U.S. intelligence estimates of Iran's breakout timeline to nine to twelve months or longer. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, including a proposed 60-day ceasefire extension, center on securing Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile and preventing any resumption of enrichment activities. Iranian officials have rejected transfers of the material abroad while seeking sanctions relief first, and no verified reconstruction or renewed enrichment has occurred. These developments sustain trader consensus that Iran will not produce a nuclear weapon before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$624,840समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes in 2025 and early 2026 severely damaged Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, destroying or disabling operating centrifuges and pushing U.S. intelligence estimates of Iran's breakout timeline to nine to twelve months or longer. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, including a proposed 60-day ceasefire extension, center on securing Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile and preventing any resumption of enrichment activities. Iranian officials have rejected transfers of the material abroad while seeking sanctions relief first, and no verified reconstruction or renewed enrichment has occurred. These developments sustain trader consensus that Iran will not produce a nuclear weapon before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$624,840समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes in 2025 and early 2026 severely damaged Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, destroying or disabling operating centrifuges and pushing U.S. intelligence estimates of Iran's breakout timeline to nine to twelve months or longer. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations, including a proposed 60-day ceasefire extension, center on securing Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile and preventing any resumption of enrichment activities. Iranian officials have rejected transfers of the material abroad while seeking sanctions relief first, and no verified reconstruction or renewed enrichment has occurred. These developments sustain trader consensus that Iran will not produce a nuclear weapon before 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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