Amid ongoing US-Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities since late February, Iranian lawmakers submitted a fast-tracked bill in late March to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), revoke JCPOA-linked restrictions, and pursue new nuclear cooperation frameworks. However, the proposal remains under parliamentary review without votes or approval as of mid-April, hampered by war disruptions and institutional hurdles including Guardian Council scrutiny. Traders' 81.5% implied probability on "No" reflects Iran's history of similar threats since 2004 without follow-through, reaffirmed commitments to NPT safeguards per recent IAEA reports, and the treaty's three-month notice requirement under Article X, alongside high diplomatic costs. Late-breaking escalations or bill passage could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ईरान 2027 से पहले एनपीटी से हट जाएगा?
क्या ईरान 2027 से पहले एनपीटी से हट जाएगा?
$109,021 वॉल्यूम
$109,021 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
$109,021 वॉल्यूम
$109,021 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Amid ongoing US-Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities since late February, Iranian lawmakers submitted a fast-tracked bill in late March to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), revoke JCPOA-linked restrictions, and pursue new nuclear cooperation frameworks. However, the proposal remains under parliamentary review without votes or approval as of mid-April, hampered by war disruptions and institutional hurdles including Guardian Council scrutiny. Traders' 81.5% implied probability on "No" reflects Iran's history of similar threats since 2004 without follow-through, reaffirmed commitments to NPT safeguards per recent IAEA reports, and the treaty's three-month notice requirement under Article X, alongside high diplomatic costs. Late-breaking escalations or bill passage could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$109,021समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Amid ongoing US-Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities since late February, Iranian lawmakers submitted a fast-tracked bill in late March to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), revoke JCPOA-linked restrictions, and pursue new nuclear cooperation frameworks. However, the proposal remains under parliamentary review without votes or approval as of mid-April, hampered by war disruptions and institutional hurdles including Guardian Council scrutiny. Traders' 81.5% implied probability on "No" reflects Iran's history of similar threats since 2004 without follow-through, reaffirmed commitments to NPT safeguards per recent IAEA reports, and the treaty's three-month notice requirement under Article X, alongside high diplomatic costs. Late-breaking escalations or bill passage could shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$109,021समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing US-Israeli military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities since late February, Iranian lawmakers submitted a fast-tracked bill in late March to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), revoke JCPOA-linked restrictions, and pursue new nuclear cooperation frameworks. However, the proposal remains under parliamentary review without votes or approval as of mid-April, hampered by war disruptions and institutional hurdles including Guardian Council scrutiny. Traders' 81.5% implied probability on "No" reflects Iran's history of similar threats since 2004 without follow-through, reaffirmed commitments to NPT safeguards per recent IAEA reports, and the treaty's three-month notice requirement under Article X, alongside high diplomatic costs. Late-breaking escalations or bill passage could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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