Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled openness to NPT withdrawal amid IAEA referrals to the UN Security Council and suspended inspections at enrichment sites, with parliamentary lawmakers advancing a fast-tracked bill and senior figures describing exit as an achievable option as recently as September 2026. However, no formal notification under Article X has been issued, and President Masoud Pezeshkian has reaffirmed treaty commitments while rejecting weapons ambitions. Full withdrawal requires Supreme National Security Council approval, a supreme national interest declaration, and 90 days’ notice, steps that remain uncompleted despite earlier 2026 proposals. Traders price the “No” outcome at 86.3 percent because Tehran has so far favored operating with reduced IAEA access inside the treaty framework over crossing the formal exit threshold before the tight 2027 deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ईरान 2027 से पहले एनपीटी से हट जाएगा?
क्या ईरान 2027 से पहले एनपीटी से हट जाएगा?
हाँ
14% संभावना
$550,676 वॉल्यूम
$550,676 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
14% संभावना
$550,676 वॉल्यूम
$550,676 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled openness to NPT withdrawal amid IAEA referrals to the UN Security Council and suspended inspections at enrichment sites, with parliamentary lawmakers advancing a fast-tracked bill and senior figures describing exit as an achievable option as recently as September 2026. However, no formal notification under Article X has been issued, and President Masoud Pezeshkian has reaffirmed treaty commitments while rejecting weapons ambitions. Full withdrawal requires Supreme National Security Council approval, a supreme national interest declaration, and 90 days’ notice, steps that remain uncompleted despite earlier 2026 proposals. Traders price the “No” outcome at 86.3 percent because Tehran has so far favored operating with reduced IAEA access inside the treaty framework over crossing the formal exit threshold before the tight 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$550,676समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled openness to NPT withdrawal amid IAEA referrals to the UN Security Council and suspended inspections at enrichment sites, with parliamentary lawmakers advancing a fast-tracked bill and senior figures describing exit as an achievable option as recently as September 2026. However, no formal notification under Article X has been issued, and President Masoud Pezeshkian has reaffirmed treaty commitments while rejecting weapons ambitions. Full withdrawal requires Supreme National Security Council approval, a supreme national interest declaration, and 90 days’ notice, steps that remain uncompleted despite earlier 2026 proposals. Traders price the “No” outcome at 86.3 percent because Tehran has so far favored operating with reduced IAEA access inside the treaty framework over crossing the formal exit threshold before the tight 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$550,676समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled openness to NPT withdrawal amid IAEA referrals to the UN Security Council and suspended inspections at enrichment sites, with parliamentary lawmakers advancing a fast-tracked bill and senior figures describing exit as an achievable option as recently as September 2026. However, no formal notification under Article X has been issued, and President Masoud Pezeshkian has reaffirmed treaty commitments while rejecting weapons ambitions. Full withdrawal requires Supreme National Security Council approval, a supreme national interest declaration, and 90 days’ notice, steps that remain uncompleted despite earlier 2026 proposals. Traders price the “No” outcome at 86.3 percent because Tehran has so far favored operating with reduced IAEA access inside the treaty framework over crossing the formal exit threshold before the tight 2027 deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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